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Notodden vs Pors - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

Division 2 - Group 1 Idrettsparken Notodden, Notodden
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Notodden host Pors in the Division 2 - Group 1. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Notodden have averaged 1.64 scored and 0.96 conceded recently, against Pors's 1.69 scored and 1.21 conceded. Past meetings favor Notodden slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 16, 2026, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 1.56 vs 1.31, favoring Notodden. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Notodden
15%
Draws
59%
Pors
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pors

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Pors at 1.69 per game, Notodden at 1.64.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Notodden have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Notodden Clean Sheet 18%
Pors Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Notodden Pors
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 14 14
Draws 5 5
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.64 1.69
Goals Conceded 0.96 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Division 2 - Group 1
Pors vs Notodden
1:2
Feb 7, 2026 Club Friendly
Pors vs Notodden
0:3
Oct 25, 2025 Division 2 - Group 1
Pors vs Notodden
2:2
May 3, 2025 Division 2 - Group 1
Notodden vs Pors
2:1
Feb 1, 2025 Club Friendly
Notodden vs Pors
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Notodden 32 / 100
Pors 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Notodden Pors

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pors Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Notodden scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Pors conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Notodden has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Notodden VS Pors
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Notodden

(Home)
03 Oct
Notodden
1 : 3
Eik-Tonsberg
26 Sept
Jerv
1 : 0
Notodden
20 Sept
Notodden
4 : 1
Arendal
16 Sept
Notodden
2 : 3
Odds BK
13 Sept
Traeff
1 : 1
Notodden
Page 1 of 6

Pors

(Away)
03 Oct
Pors
4 : 1
Vidar
26 Sept
Sotra
3 : 2
Pors
20 Sept
Pors
2 : 0
Lysekloster
16 Sept
Pors
2 : 1
Stabaek
12 Sept
Eik-Tonsberg
2 : 0
Pors
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jerv 22 16 4 2 47:21 52
2 Brattvag 22 14 3 5 47:28 45
3 Bjarg 22 14 2 6 47:28 44
4 Mjondalen 22 14 2 6 43:28 44
5 Sotra 22 12 3 7 47:25 39
6 Notodden 22 10 5 7 31:20 35
7 Kvik Halden 22 10 4 8 34:27 34
8 Traeff 22 8 6 8 36:44 30
9 Pors 22 7 5 10 28:31 26
10 Arendal 22 7 5 10 30:38 26
11 Sandviken 22 7 4 11 33:45 25
12 Lysekloster 22 3 6 13 26:48 15
13 Eik-Tonsberg 22 3 1 18 24:50 10
14 Vidar 22 2 4 16 20:60 10
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen 2027 (Main)
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