Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Notodden vs Sotra

Norway Norway

Division 2 - Group 1 Idrettsparken Notodden, Notodden
Our Tip

Match Events

32'
Kilen L.
35' Event
Larsen S.
46'
Sub
Wik S. In: Bildoy M.
Out: Wik S.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Group 1 game between Notodden and Sotra finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Notodden.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Notodden
20%
Draws
42%
Sotra
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sotra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Notodden haven't matched Sotra's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Notodden taking it.
  • Regular Division 2 - Group 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Notodden Clean Sheet 10%
Sotra Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Notodden Sotra
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 15 17
Draws 6 4
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.75 2.03
Goals Conceded 0.86 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Division 2 - Group 1
Notodden vs Sotra
1:0
Sep 13, 2025 Division 2 - Group 1
Notodden vs Sotra
1:1
Apr 27, 2025 Division 2 - Group 1
Sotra vs Notodden
1:3
Sep 21, 2024 Division 2 - Group 1
Notodden vs Sotra
0:0
Apr 6, 2024 Division 2 - Group 1
Sotra vs Notodden
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Notodden Compare

Top Goalscorer Larsen S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Sotra Compare

Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Notodden 40 / 100
Sotra 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Notodden Sotra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Notodden scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Notodden remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Sotra let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Notodden VS Sotra
1.5 Goals Scored 3
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Notodden

(Home)
20 Sept
Notodden
4 : 1
Arendal
16 Sept
Notodden
2 : 3
Odds BK
13 Sept
Traeff
1 : 1
Notodden
06 Sept
Notodden
3 : 0
Lysekloster
30 Aug
Kvik Halden
0 : 0
Notodden
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Sotra

(Away)
19 Sept
Mjondalen
3 : 1
Sotra
16 Sept
Sotra
1 : 2
Sogndal
12 Sept
Sotra
3 : 0
Sandviken
05 Sept
Sotra
3 : 0
Vidar
30 Aug
Eik-Tonsberg
1 : 3
Sotra
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jerv 20 15 3 2 43:18 48
2 Brattvag 20 12 3 5 41:24 39
3 Bjarg 20 12 2 6 42:26 38
4 Mjondalen 20 12 2 6 36:27 38
5 Sotra 20 11 3 6 42:20 36
6 Notodden 20 10 5 5 30:16 35
7 Kvik Halden 20 9 4 7 28:24 31
8 Traeff 20 8 6 6 36:36 30
9 Arendal 20 7 5 8 28:34 26
10 Pors 20 6 5 9 22:27 23
11 Sandviken 20 5 4 11 29:43 19
12 Lysekloster 20 3 5 12 21:42 14
13 Vidar 20 2 4 14 18:53 10
14 Eik-Tonsberg 20 2 1 17 21:47 7
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