Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Notodden vs Sotra

Norway Norway

Division 2 - Group 1 Idrettsparken Notodden, Notodden
Our Tip

Match Events

32'
Kilen L.
35' Event
Larsen S.
46'
Sub
Wik S. In: Bildoy M.
Out: Wik S.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Group 1 game between Notodden and Sotra finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Notodden.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Notodden
6%
Draws
4%
Sotra
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Notodden

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Notodden haven't matched Sotra's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Notodden taking it.
  • Regular Division 2 - Group 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Notodden Clean Sheet 17%
Sotra Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Notodden Sotra
Matches Played 31 35
Wins 14 16
Draws 9 7
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.88 2
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Division 2 - Group 1
Notodden vs Sotra
1:0
Sep 13, 2025 Division 2 - Group 1
Notodden vs Sotra
1:1
Apr 27, 2025 Division 2 - Group 1
Sotra vs Notodden
1:3
Sep 21, 2024 Division 2 - Group 1
Notodden vs Sotra
0:0
Apr 6, 2024 Division 2 - Group 1
Sotra vs Notodden
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Notodden Compare

Top Goalscorer Larsen S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Sotra Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Notodden 84 / 100
Sotra 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Notodden Sotra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NOT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Notodden scored in 87% of their last 31 outings.

Sotra has conceded goals in 60% of their last 35 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Notodden went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Notodden VS Sotra
1.88 Goals Scored 2
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Notodden

(Home)
25 Jul
Notodden
1 : 0
Sotra
27 Jun
Sandviken
0 : 4
Notodden
20 Jun
Notodden
1 : 2
Mjondalen
14 Jun
Lysekloster
0 : 2
Notodden
31 May
Notodden
0 : 0
Jerv
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Sotra

(Away)
25 Jul
Notodden
1 : 0
Sotra
28 Jun
Sotra
1 : 3
Jerv
20 Jun
Kvik Halden
2 : 1
Sotra
14 Jun
Sotra
0 : 1
Brattvag
31 May
Arendal
1 : 1
Sotra
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Jerv13102126:1232
2Mjondalen1382327:1826
3Brattvag1381425:1425
4Kvik Halden1373322:1424
5Bjarg1371522:2022
6Notodden1363420:1121
7Traeff1354424:2119
8Sotra1353524:1418
9Pors1353515:1718
10Arendal1335518:2014
11Lysekloster1335517:2514
12Sandviken1342717:2714
13Eik-Tonsberg13111113:324
14Vidar1303109:343
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen 2027 (Main)
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