Sport Picks
Match Events
17'
17'
Bradshaw A.
35'
35'
Green I.
(Penalty)
81'
81'
Corry S.
Assist: Smith C.
AI Match Summary
Derby U18 in this Premier League U18 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Derby U18.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
15%
28%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nottingham U18
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Nottingham U18 lately — more wins on the board than Derby U18.
- Model gives Nottingham U18 a 57% chance of winning this.
- Regular Premier League U18 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 89%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 89%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Nottingham U18 Clean Sheet 10%
Derby U18 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nottingham U18 | Derby U18 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 12 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 11 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 2.1 | 1.79 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.69 | 2.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.81 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 Premier League U18
Derby U18 vs Nottingham U18
0:2
Jan 10, 2026 Premier League U18
Nottingham U18 vs Derby U18
1:2
Aug 16, 2025 Premier League U18
Derby U18 vs Nottingham U18
0:2
May 3, 2025 Premier League U18
Derby U18 vs Nottingham U18
3:1
Nov 30, 2024 Premier League U18
Nottingham U18 vs Derby U18
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Nottingham U18 Compare
Top Goalscorer Bradshaw A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.41
Derby U18 Compare
Top Goalscorer Corry S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Nottingham U18 83 / 100
Derby U18 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Nottingham U18 Derby U18
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Nottingham U18 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Nottingham U18 scored in 86% of their last 29 games.
Derby U18 let in goals in 93% of their last 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Nottingham U18 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Nottingham U18 VS Derby U18
3.13 Goals Scored 2.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Nottingham U18
(Home) 12 Sept
Nottingham U18
0 : 1 Middlesbrough U18
05 Sept
Derby U18
0 : 2 Nottingham U18
29 Aug
Nottingham U18
3 : 1 Stoke City U18
22 Aug
Blackburn U18
0 : 8 Nottingham U18
09 May
Nottingham U18
2 : 1 Blackburn U18
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Nottingham U18
0 : 1 Middlesbrough U18
29 Aug
Nottingham U18
3 : 1 Stoke City U18
09 May
Nottingham U18
2 : 1 Blackburn U18
18 Apr
Nottingham U18
0 : 4 Manchester City U18
11 Apr
Nottingham U18
3 : 4 Liverpool U18
Page 1 of 3
Derby U18
(Away) 12 Sept
Stoke City U18
0 : 2 Derby U18
05 Sept
Derby U18
0 : 2 Nottingham U18
29 Aug
Middlesbrough U18
1 : 3 Derby U18
22 Aug
Derby U18
1 : 4 Burnley U18
15 Aug
Newcastle Utd U18
3 : 1 Derby U18
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Stoke City U18
0 : 2 Derby U18
29 Aug
Middlesbrough U18
1 : 3 Derby U18
15 Aug
Newcastle Utd U18
3 : 1 Derby U18
02 May
Manchester City U18
5 : 3 Derby U18
11 Apr
Wolves U18
1 : 2 Derby U18
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City U18 | 26 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 96:39 | 60 |
| 2 | Manchester United U18 | 26 | 18 | 2 | 6 | 65:24 | 56 |
| 3 | Newcastle Utd U18 | 26 | 16 | 1 | 9 | 55:44 | 49 |
| 4 | Everton U18 | 26 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 54:45 | 42 |
| 5 | Nottingham U18 | 26 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 50:47 | 42 |
| 6 | Sunderland U18 | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 56:44 | 39 |
| 7 | Middlesbrough U18 | 26 | 12 | 3 | 11 | 45:45 | 39 |
| 8 | Liverpool U18 | 26 | 11 | 2 | 13 | 70:70 | 35 |
| 9 | Blackburn U18 | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 51:68 | 33 |
| 10 | Derby U18 | 26 | 10 | 2 | 14 | 44:67 | 32 |
| 11 | Burnley U18 | 26 | 9 | 3 | 14 | 49:68 | 30 |
| 12 | Leeds U18 | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 47:68 | 29 |
| 13 | Wolves U18 | 26 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 29:55 | 20 |
| 14 | Stoke City U18 | 26 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 42:69 | 17 |
Promotion - Premier League U18 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chelsea U18 | 28 | 21 | 4 | 3 | 88:24 | 67 |
| 2 | Tottenham U18 | 28 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 70:36 | 54 |
| 3 | Aston Villa U18 | 28 | 17 | 3 | 8 | 82:55 | 54 |
| 4 | Brighton U18 | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 63:41 | 49 |
| 5 | Crystal Palace U18 | 28 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 74:52 | 46 |
| 6 | West Brom U18 | 28 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 68:50 | 46 |
| 7 | Southampton U18 | 28 | 13 | 3 | 12 | 65:61 | 42 |
| 8 | West Ham U18 | 28 | 13 | 2 | 13 | 62:59 | 41 |
| 9 | Leicester U18 | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 46:53 | 36 |
| 10 | Arsenal U18 | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 46:57 | 33 |
| 11 | Fulham U18 | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 48:65 | 33 |
| 12 | Norwich U18 | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 47:67 | 26 |
| 13 | Reading U18 | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 38:66 | 26 |
| 14 | Birmingham U18 | 28 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 29:88 | 21 |
| 15 | Ipswich U18 | 28 | 6 | 2 | 20 | 41:93 | 20 |
Promotion - Premier League U18 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
