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Nottingham U21 vs Burnley U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Premier League 2 Loughborough University Stadium, Leicestershire
Our Tip

Match Events

39'
Clark E.
46'
Sub
Clarke K. In: Sinclair J.
Out: Clarke K.
46'
Sub
Powell J. In: Samuels S.
Out: Powell J.

AI Match Summary

Nottingham U21 in this Premier League 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nottingham U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Nottingham U21
15%
Draws
34%
Burnley U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nottingham U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Burnley U21 haven't matched Nottingham U21's recent run of results.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Nottingham U21 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Nottingham U21 Clean Sheet 16%
Burnley U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nottingham U21 Burnley U21
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 17 10
Draws 2 4
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.37 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2026 Premier League 2
Nottingham U21 vs Burnley U21
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nottingham U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Broomes E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Burnley U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nottingham U21 39 / 100
Burnley U21 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nottingham U21 Burnley U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nottingham U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nottingham U21 found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Burnley U21 has conceded goals in 93% of their last 29 outings.

Nottingham U21 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Burnley U21 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nottingham U21 VS Burnley U21
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Nottingham U21

(Home)
30 Sept
Nottingham U21
2 : 4
Sporting CP B
22 Sept
Burton
1 : 2
Nottingham U21
18 Sept
West Brom U21
1 : 3
Nottingham U21
14 Sept
Nottingham U21
1 : 0
Burnley U21
08 Sept
Scunthorpe
2 : 1
Nottingham U21
Page 1 of 6

Burnley U21

(Away)
18 Sept
Burnley U21
4 : 1
Derby U21
14 Sept
Nottingham U21
1 : 0
Burnley U21
08 Sept
Fleetwood Town U21
1 : 2
Burnley U21
28 Aug
Burnley U21
1 : 3
Reading U21
21 Aug
Fulham U21
4 : 3
Burnley U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tottenham U21 4 3 1 0 13:7 10
2 Southampton U21 4 3 1 0 7:2 10
3 Manchester United U21 3 3 0 0 12:3 9
4 Chelsea U21 4 3 0 1 13:8 9
5 Sunderland U21 4 3 0 1 13:9 9
6 Bournemouth U21 4 3 0 1 8:6 9
7 Nottingham U21 4 3 0 1 7:7 9
8 Liverpool U21 4 2 1 1 8:4 7
9 Fulham U21 4 2 1 1 12:9 7
10 Leeds U21 4 2 1 1 11:9 7
11 Reading U21 4 2 1 1 7:6 7
12 Norwich U21 4 2 1 1 6:5 7
13 Brentford U21 4 2 0 2 10:8 6
14 Everton U21 4 1 2 1 4:3 5
15 West Ham U21 4 1 2 1 5:5 5
16 Aston Villa U21 4 1 2 1 7:8 5
17 Stoke City U21 4 1 1 2 7:5 4
18 Crystal Palace U21 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
19 Brighton U21 4 1 1 2 7:9 4
20 Derby U21 4 1 1 2 9:12 4
21 Manchester City U21 3 1 0 2 7:6 3
22 Burnley U21 4 1 0 3 8:9 3
23 Arsenal U21 4 0 3 1 4:7 3
24 Blackburn U21 3 1 0 2 4:7 3
25 Ipswich U21 3 1 0 2 6:10 3
26 Birmingham U21 3 0 2 1 5:7 2
27 Middlesbrough U21 4 0 2 2 7:10 2
28 West Brom U21 3 0 1 2 8:11 1
29 Leicester U21 3 0 1 2 1:7 1
30 Newcastle Utd U21 3 0 0 3 1:9 0
31 Wolves U21 3 0 0 3 0:10 0
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