Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nottingham U21 vs Charlton U21

England England

Professional Development League 2025/2026 Loughborough University Stadium, Leicestershire
Nottingham U21 Logo

Nottingham U21

3 - 2
FT
Charlton U21 Logo

Charlton U21

Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Fullah I.
11' Event
Sinclair J.
68' Event
McClure B.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-2, with Nottingham U21 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

78%
Nottingham U21
15%
Draws
7%
Charlton U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nottingham U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Nottingham U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Nottingham U21 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Nottingham U21 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Charlton U21, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Nottingham U21 have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Nottingham U21 Clean Sheet 17%
Charlton U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nottingham U21 Charlton U21
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 16 9
Draws 3 6
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.29 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.04 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2026 Professional Development League
Nottingham U21 vs Charlton U21
3:2
Nov 28, 2022 Premier League Cup
Nottingham U21 vs Charlton U21
1:2
Sep 6, 2022 Premier League Cup
Charlton U21 vs Nottingham U21
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nottingham U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Sinclair J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader McClure B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Charlton U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Fullah I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mitchell Z.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nottingham U21 84 / 100
Charlton U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nottingham U21 Charlton U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nottingham U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Charlton U21 conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Nottingham U21 scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Nottingham U21 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nottingham U21 VS Charlton U21
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Nottingham U21

(Home)
11 May
Nottingham U21
1 : 2
Norwich U21
04 May
Peterborough U21
0 : 1
Nottingham U21
27 Apr
Nottingham U21
3 : 2
Charlton U21
03 Apr
Nottingham U21
2 : 0
Crystal Palace U21
20 Mar
Nottingham U21
3 : 0
Newcastle Utd U21
Page 1 of 6

Charlton U21

(Away)
18 Jul
Folkestone
2 : 0
Charlton U21
27 Apr
Nottingham U21
3 : 2
Charlton U21
20 Apr
Watford U21
3 : 1
Charlton U21
17 Apr
Charlton U21
2 : 2
Colchester U21
14 Apr
Wigan U21
3 : 2
Charlton U21
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Stoke City U21 1
Peterborough U21 3
Nottingham U21 3
Charlton U21 2
Sheffield Utd U21 1
Norwich U21 3
Swansea U21 2
Newcastle Utd U21 0
Reading U21 0
Huddersfield U21 1
Bournemouth U21 1
Wolves U21 0
Everton U21 3
Watford U21 2
Brentford U21 2
Derby U21 0
Quarter-finals
Peterborough U21 0
Nottingham U21 1
Norwich U21 1
Swansea U21 0
Huddersfield U21 4
Bournemouth U21 1
Everton U21 4
Brentford U21 2
Semi-finals
Nottingham U21 1
Norwich U21 2
Huddersfield U21 3
Everton U21 1
Final
Norwich U21 2
Huddersfield U21 4