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Nottingham U21 vs Lyon II

Europe Europe

Premier League International Cup 2024/2025 City Ground, Nottingham
Wed, May 7, 2025
1 - 0
06:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Gueye T.
Penalty Missed
1' Event
Berry A.
(Penalty)
2' Event
Fall I.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Nottingham U21 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Nottingham U21
15%
Draws
49%
Lyon II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lyon II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nottingham U21 come out ahead of Lyon II on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Nottingham U21 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Nottingham U21, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Nottingham U21 Clean Sheet 20%
Lyon II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nottingham U21 Lyon II
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 16 11
Draws 2 6
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.34 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2025 Premier League International Cup
Nottingham U21 vs Lyon II
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nottingham U21 36 / 100
Lyon II 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nottingham U21 Lyon II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lyon II Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nottingham U21 scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Lyon II conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Nottingham U21 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Nottingham U21 VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Nottingham U21

(Home)
30 Sept
Nottingham U21
2 : 4
Sporting CP B
22 Sept
Burton
1 : 2
Nottingham U21
18 Sept
West Brom U21
1 : 3
Nottingham U21
14 Sept
Nottingham U21
1 : 0
Burnley U21
08 Sept
Scunthorpe
2 : 1
Nottingham U21
Page 1 of 6

Lyon II

(Away)
07 May
Nottingham U21
1 : 0
Lyon II
22 Apr
Fulham U21
0 : 2
Lyon II
11 Mar
Lyon II
3 : 0
Valencia B
03 Dec
West Ham U21
0 : 2
Lyon II
30 Oct
Middlesbrough U21
0 : 1
Lyon II
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Nottingham U21 2
Nordsjaelland U21 1
Brighton U21 1
Ath Bilbao B 5
Fulham U21 2
Sporting CP B 1
Lyon II 3
Valencia B 0
Semi-finals
Nottingham U21 2
Ath Bilbao B 0
Fulham U21 0
Lyon II 2
Final
Nottingham U21 1
Lyon II 0