Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nottingham U23 vs Aston Villa U23

England England

Premier League 2 2021/2022 Meadow Lane, Nottingham
Nottingham U23 Logo

Nottingham U23

4 - 1
FT
Aston Villa U23 Logo

Aston Villa U23

Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Young B.
29'
Sub
Munroe F. In: McBride C.
Out: Munroe F.
46'
Sub
Appiah P. In: Smith K.
Out: Appiah P.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2 2021/2022 game between Nottingham U23 and Aston Villa U23 finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nottingham U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Nottingham U23
15%
Draws
20%
Aston Villa U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nottingham U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Aston Villa U23 haven't matched Nottingham U23's recent run of results.
  • 65% — that's where the model lands on Nottingham U23 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Nottingham U23 Clean Sheet 20%
Aston Villa U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nottingham U23 Aston Villa U23
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 10
Draws 5 6
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 2.03 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2022 Premier League 2
Nottingham U23 vs Aston Villa U23
4:1
Aug 13, 2021 Premier League 2
Aston Villa U23 vs Nottingham U23
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nottingham U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Larsson J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Back F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22

Aston Villa U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Young B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nottingham U23 85 / 100
Aston Villa U23 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nottingham U23 Aston Villa U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nottingham U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nottingham U23 found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (30 games).

Aston Villa U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.

Nottingham U23 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Nottingham U23 VS Aston Villa U23
2.88 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Nottingham U23

(Home)
15 May
Stoke City U23
2 : 0
Nottingham U23
29 Apr
Birmingham U23
0 : 3
Nottingham U23
22 Apr
Nottingham U23
1 : 1
Middlesbrough U23
04 Apr
Nottingham U23
2 : 0
Stoke City U23
01 Apr
Nottingham U23
1 : 0
Wolves U23
Page 1 of 6

Aston Villa U23

(Away)
12 Jul
Hednesford
4 : 3
Aston Villa U23
02 May
Aston Villa U23
1 : 2
Newcastle Utd U23
25 Apr
Burnley U23
2 : 1
Aston Villa U23
18 Apr
Sunderland U23
1 : 3
Aston Villa U23
01 Apr
Aston Villa U23
1 : 4
Stoke City U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City U23 26 16 6 4 65:32 54
2 West Ham U23 26 15 3 8 59:39 48
3 Arsenal U23 26 10 11 5 56:48 41
4 Liverpool U23 26 11 7 8 47:37 40
5 Crystal Palace U23 26 12 3 11 54:50 39
6 Manchester United U23 26 11 6 9 46:43 39
7 Tottenham U23 26 10 7 9 49:45 37
8 Leicester U23 26 10 7 9 38:53 37
9 Blackburn U23 26 9 8 9 50:56 35
10 Brighton U23 26 9 7 10 41:41 34
11 Everton U23 26 8 5 13 33:54 29
12 Chelsea U23 26 7 7 12 39:47 28
13 Leeds U23 26 7 6 13 44:49 27
14 Derby U23 26 4 3 19 31:58 15
Promotion - Premier League 2 2022/2023 (Main)
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League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fulham U23 26 20 2 4 64:27 62
2 Wolves U23 26 14 5 7 46:37 47
3 Stoke City U23 26 12 7 7 34:36 43
4 Nottingham U23 26 12 6 8 52:31 42
5 Norwich U23 26 12 3 11 64:52 39
6 Burnley U23 26 11 6 9 46:39 39
7 Southampton U23 26 12 3 11 45:42 39
8 Newcastle Utd U23 26 12 2 12 51:56 38
9 West Brom U23 26 10 5 11 44:54 35
10 Aston Villa U23 26 9 5 12 53:51 32
11 Birmingham U23 26 7 5 14 34:51 26
12 Middlesbrough U23 26 8 2 16 31:50 26
13 Sunderland U23 26 7 3 16 35:49 24
14 Reading U23 26 5 8 13 32:56 23
Promotion - Premier League 2 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2 2021/2022 (Promotion - Play Offs)