Sport Picks
Nottingham U23 vs Middlesbrough U23
England
Premier League 2 2021/2022 City Ground, Nottingham 
Match Events
26'
26'
Konate A.
54'
54'
Harbottle R.
57'
57'
Larsson J.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Premier League 2 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nottingham U23
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Nottingham U23 have won more games recently than Middlesbrough U23.
- Nottingham U23 are the model's pick here, at 80%.
- Regular Premier League 2 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Nottingham U23 Clean Sheet 20%
Middlesbrough U23 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nottingham U23 | Middlesbrough U23 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 15 | 10 |
| Draws | 5 | 3 |
| Losses | 10 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 2.1 | 1.39 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.47 | 1.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.31 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 22, 2022 Premier League 2
Nottingham U23 vs Middlesbrough U23
1:1
Feb 11, 2022 Premier League Cup
Nottingham U23 vs Middlesbrough U23
2:1
Nov 12, 2021 Premier League Cup
Middlesbrough U23 vs Nottingham U23
2:1
Sep 24, 2021 Premier League 2
Middlesbrough U23 vs Nottingham U23
0:1
Feb 26, 2018 Premier League Cup
Middlesbrough U23 vs Nottingham U23
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Nottingham U23 Compare
Top Goalscorer Larsson J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16
Middlesbrough U23 Compare
Top Goalscorer Lea S. J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Nottingham U23 76 / 100
Middlesbrough U23 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Nottingham U23 Middlesbrough U23
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Nottingham U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Nottingham U23 found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (30 games).
Middlesbrough U23 let in goals in 90% of their last 31 matches.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Solid form: Nottingham U23 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Nottingham U23 VS Middlesbrough U23
3 Goals Scored 1.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Nottingham U23
(Home) 15 May
Stoke City U23
2 : 0 Nottingham U23
29 Apr
Birmingham U23
0 : 3 Nottingham U23
22 Apr
Nottingham U23
1 : 1 Middlesbrough U23
04 Apr
Nottingham U23
2 : 0 Stoke City U23
01 Apr
Nottingham U23
1 : 0 Wolves U23
Page 1 of 6
22 Apr
Nottingham U23
1 : 1 Middlesbrough U23
04 Apr
Nottingham U23
2 : 0 Stoke City U23
01 Apr
Nottingham U23
1 : 0 Wolves U23
14 Mar
Nottingham U23
3 : 0 Sunderland U23
21 Feb
Nottingham U23
7 : 0 Reading U23
Page 1 of 3
Middlesbrough U23
(Away) 20 Jul
Whitby
2 : 2 Middlesbrough U23
04 May
Wolves U23
3 : 2 Middlesbrough U23
01 May
Middlesbrough U23
2 : 1 Reading U23
22 Apr
Nottingham U23
1 : 1 Middlesbrough U23
15 Apr
Middlesbrough U23
0 : 3 Wolves U23
Page 1 of 7
20 Jul
Whitby
2 : 2 Middlesbrough U23
04 May
Wolves U23
3 : 2 Middlesbrough U23
22 Apr
Nottingham U23
1 : 1 Middlesbrough U23
08 Apr
Stoke City U23
1 : 2 Middlesbrough U23
14 Mar
Stoke City U23
1 : 0 Middlesbrough U23
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City U23 | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 65:32 | 54 |
| 2 | West Ham U23 | 26 | 15 | 3 | 8 | 59:39 | 48 |
| 3 | Arsenal U23 | 26 | 10 | 11 | 5 | 56:48 | 41 |
| 4 | Liverpool U23 | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 47:37 | 40 |
| 5 | Crystal Palace U23 | 26 | 12 | 3 | 11 | 54:50 | 39 |
| 6 | Manchester United U23 | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 46:43 | 39 |
| 7 | Tottenham U23 | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 49:45 | 37 |
| 8 | Leicester U23 | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 38:53 | 37 |
| 9 | Blackburn U23 | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 50:56 | 35 |
| 10 | Brighton U23 | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 41:41 | 34 |
| 11 | Everton U23 | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 33:54 | 29 |
| 12 | Chelsea U23 | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 39:47 | 28 |
| 13 | Leeds U23 | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 44:49 | 27 |
| 14 | Derby U23 | 26 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 31:58 | 15 |
Promotion - Premier League 2 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2 2021/2022 (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fulham U23 | 26 | 20 | 2 | 4 | 64:27 | 62 |
| 2 | Wolves U23 | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 46:37 | 47 |
| 3 | Stoke City U23 | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 34:36 | 43 |
| 4 | Nottingham U23 | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 52:31 | 42 |
| 5 | Norwich U23 | 26 | 12 | 3 | 11 | 64:52 | 39 |
| 6 | Burnley U23 | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 46:39 | 39 |
| 7 | Southampton U23 | 26 | 12 | 3 | 11 | 45:42 | 39 |
| 8 | Newcastle Utd U23 | 26 | 12 | 2 | 12 | 51:56 | 38 |
| 9 | West Brom U23 | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 44:54 | 35 |
| 10 | Aston Villa U23 | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 53:51 | 32 |
| 11 | Birmingham U23 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 34:51 | 26 |
| 12 | Middlesbrough U23 | 26 | 8 | 2 | 16 | 31:50 | 26 |
| 13 | Sunderland U23 | 26 | 7 | 3 | 16 | 35:49 | 24 |
| 14 | Reading U23 | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 32:56 | 23 |
Promotion - Premier League 2 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2 2021/2022 (Promotion - Play Offs)
