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Nottingham vs Blackburn

World World

Club Friendly Estadio da Nora, Albufeira
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Igor Jesus
46'
Sub
Yates R. In: Nwosu C.
Out: Yates R.
46'
Sub
Williams N. In: McDonnell G.
Out: Williams N.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Nottingham and Blackburn finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nottingham.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Nottingham
30%
Draws
31%
Blackburn
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nottingham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nottingham come out ahead of Blackburn on wins alone.
  • Model gives Nottingham a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Nottingham have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Nottingham Clean Sheet 20%
Blackburn Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nottingham Blackburn
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 10
Draws 9 9
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.43 1.17
Goals Conceded 1 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 22, 2026 Club Friendly
Nottingham vs Blackburn
3:0
Dec 21, 2022 EFL Cup
Blackburn vs Nottingham
1:4
Feb 9, 2022 Championship
Blackburn vs Nottingham
0:2
Aug 18, 2021 Championship
Nottingham vs Blackburn
1:2
Feb 20, 2021 Championship
Nottingham vs Blackburn
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nottingham Compare

Top Goalscorer Igor Jesus
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kalimuendo A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Blackburn Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nottingham 36 / 100
Blackburn 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nottingham Blackburn

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nottingham scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Blackburn's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Nottingham has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Nottingham VS Blackburn
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Nottingham

(Home)
12 Sept
Aston Villa
1 : 2
Nottingham
05 Sept
Nottingham
0 : 0
Tottenham
29 Aug
Liverpool
2 : 2
Nottingham
25 Aug
Nottingham
0 : 2
Leeds
22 Aug
Nottingham
0 : 1
Leeds
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Blackburn

(Away)
12 Sept
Blackburn
3 : 1
Millwall
08 Sept
Blackburn
1 : 2
Sheffield Utd
05 Sept
Preston
2 : 1
Blackburn
01 Sept
Lincoln City
0 : 0
Blackburn
29 Aug
Blackburn
1 : 2
QPR
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