Sport Picks
Nottingham vs Fenerbahce
Europe
Europa League 2025/2026 City Ground, Nottingham 
Match Events
22'
22'
Akturkoglu K.
Assist: Cherif S.
40'
40'
Lucca L.
46'
46'
Sub
Nene D. In: Semedo N.
Out: Nene D.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-2, with Fenerbahce advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
22%
28%
50%
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Fenerbahce
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
76%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Fenerbahce come out ahead of Nottingham on wins alone.
- Fenerbahce are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- Fenerbahce arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Fenerbahce, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Nottingham Clean Sheet 10%
Fenerbahce Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nottingham | Fenerbahce |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 31 |
| Wins | 12 | 19 |
| Draws | 9 | 7 |
| Losses | 7 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 2.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 2.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.25 | 0.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 26, 2026 Europa League
Nottingham vs Fenerbahce
1:2
Feb 19, 2026 Europa League
Fenerbahce vs Nottingham
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Nottingham Compare
Top Goalscorer Hudson-Odoi C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Fenerbahce Compare
Top Goalscorer Akturkoglu K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Nottingham 22 / 100
Fenerbahce 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Nottingham Fenerbahce
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick FEN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Nottingham scored in 82% of their last 28 games.
Fenerbahce has conceded goals in 68% of their last 31 outings.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Solid form: Nottingham remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Nottingham VS Fenerbahce
1.63 Goals Scored 2.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Nottingham
(Home) 26 Jul
Vitoria Guimaraes
1 : 1 Nottingham
22 Jul
Nottingham
3 : 0 Blackburn
18 Jul
Notts County
0 : 2 Nottingham
24 May
Nottingham
1 : 1 Bournemouth
17 May
Manchester United
3 : 2 Nottingham
Page 1 of 6
22 Jul
Nottingham
3 : 0 Blackburn
24 May
Nottingham
1 : 1 Bournemouth
10 May
Nottingham
1 : 1 Newcastle Utd
30 Apr
Nottingham
1 : 0 Aston Villa
19 Apr
Nottingham
4 : 1 Burnley
Page 1 of 3
Fenerbahce
(Away) 29 Jul
Gornik Zabrze
1 : 1 Fenerbahce
21 Jul
Fenerbahce
1 : 0 Gornik Zabrze
14 Jul
LASK Linz
1 : 2 Fenerbahce
11 Jul
Fenerbahce
4 : 0 Pogon Szczecin
08 Jul
Admira
0 : 5 Fenerbahce
Page 1 of 7
29 Jul
Gornik Zabrze
1 : 1 Fenerbahce
14 Jul
LASK Linz
1 : 2 Fenerbahce
08 Jul
Admira
0 : 5 Fenerbahce
09 May
Konyaspor
0 : 3 Fenerbahce
26 Apr
Galatasaray
3 : 0 Fenerbahce
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Ludogorets2
Ferencvaros3
Braga-
TBD-
Panathinaikos4
Plzen3
Betis-
TBD-
Din. Zagreb4
Genk6
Freiburg-
TBD-
PAOK1
Celta Vigo3
Lyon-
TBD-
Celtic2
VfB Stuttgart4
FC Porto-
TBD-
Fenerbahce2
Nottingham4
Midtjylland-
TBD-
Brann0
Bologna2
AS Roma-
TBD-
Lille2
Crvena zvezda1
Aston Villa-
TBD-
1/8-finals
Ferencvaros2
Braga4
Panathinaikos1
Betis4
Genk2
Freiburg5
Celta Vigo3
Lyon1
VfB Stuttgart1
FC Porto4
Nottingham3
Midtjylland2
Bologna5
AS Roma4
Lille0
Aston Villa3
Quarter-finals
Braga5
Betis3
Freiburg6
Celta Vigo1
FC Porto1
Nottingham2
Bologna1
Aston Villa7
Semi-finals
Braga3
Freiburg4
Nottingham1
Aston Villa4
Final
Freiburg0
Aston Villa3
