Sport Picks
Nottingham W vs Burnley W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
Women's League Cup City Ground, Nottingham 
Match Events
40'
40'
Murphy A.
46'
46'
Sub
Espas T. In: Shooter L.
Out: Espas T.
64'
64'
Sub
Thomas C. In: Rose D.
Out: Thomas C.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 4-0. The second leg ended 4-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
58%
20%
22%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nottingham W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Burnley W carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Nottingham W a 58% chance of winning this.
- Burnley W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Nottingham W, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Nottingham W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Nottingham W Clean Sheet 20%
Burnley W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nottingham W | Burnley W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 17 |
| Draws | 7 | 3 |
| Losses | 12 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.21 | 2.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.48 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 1, 2026 Women's League Cup
Nottingham W vs Burnley W
4:0
Oct 4, 2026 WSL 2
Nottingham W vs Burnley W
2:0
Mar 9, 2025 Women's National League North
Burnley W vs Nottingham W
0:2
Jan 8, 2025 Women’s FA Cup
Nottingham W vs Burnley W
1:0
Sep 15, 2024 Women's National League North
Nottingham W vs Burnley W
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Nottingham W Compare
Top Goalscorer Murphy A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Lafayette A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Burnley W Compare
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Nottingham W 85 / 100
Burnley W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Nottingham W Burnley W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Nottingham W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Nottingham W found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
Nottingham W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Difficult form: Burnley W registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Nottingham W VS Burnley W
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Nottingham W
(Home) 01 Nov
Nottingham W
4 : 0 Burnley W
25 Oct
Nottingham W
2 : 2 Newcastle Utd W
18 Oct
Sheffield Utd W
1 : 0 Nottingham W
04 Oct
Nottingham W
2 : 0 Burnley W
27 Sept
Southampton FC W
1 : 1 Nottingham W
Page 1 of 6
01 Nov
Nottingham W
4 : 0 Burnley W
25 Oct
Nottingham W
2 : 2 Newcastle Utd W
04 Oct
Nottingham W
2 : 0 Burnley W
23 Sept
Nottingham W
0 : 2 Aston Villa W
13 Sept
Nottingham W
2 : 2 Watford W
Page 1 of 3
Burnley W
(Away) 01 Nov
Nottingham W
4 : 0 Burnley W
28 Oct
Manchester United W
3 : 0 Burnley W
25 Oct
Burnley W
3 : 4 Sheffield Utd W
21 Oct
Burnley W
0 : 2 Aston Villa W
18 Oct
Burnley W
3 : 2 Durham W
Page 1 of 6
01 Nov
Nottingham W
4 : 0 Burnley W
28 Oct
Manchester United W
3 : 0 Burnley W
04 Oct
Nottingham W
2 : 0 Burnley W
18 Sept
Wolverhampton W
3 : 0 Burnley W
04 Sept
Watford W
0 : 0 Burnley W
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester United W | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 23:5 | 12 |
| 2 | London City Lionesses W | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:3 | 12 |
| 3 | Aston Villa W | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8:2 | 11 |
| 4 | Everton W | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 9 |
| 5 | West Ham W | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 8 |
| 6 | Tottenham W | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:1 | 7 |
| 7 | Brighton W | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10:1 | 6 |
| 8 | Liverpool W | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11:10 | 6 |
| 9 | Crystal Palace W | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:7 | 6 |
| 10 | Sunderland W | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 6 |
| 11 | Southampton FC W | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:7 | 5 |
| 12 | Wolverhampton W | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:9 | 5 |
| 13 | Birmingham W | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9:7 | 4 |
| 14 | Ipswich W | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:4 | 4 |
| 15 | Nottingham W | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:2 | 4 |
| 16 | Newcastle Utd W | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:7 | 3 |
| 17 | Leicester W | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | 3 |
| 18 | Charlton W | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:9 | 3 |
| 19 | Burnley W | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:11 | 3 |
| 20 | Watford W | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:7 | 2 |
| 21 | Bristol City W | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:11 | 2 |
| 22 | Sheffield Utd W | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:13 | 2 |
| 23 | Durham W | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4:18 | 0 |
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