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Notts County U23 vs Southampton U23 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Premier League Cup 2018/2019 Meadow Lane, Nottingham
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Hamblin H.
29' Event
Johnson T.
32' Event
Smallbone W.

AI Match Summary

Southampton U23 in this Premier League Cup 2018/2019 tie, finishing 0-7. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Notts County U23
20%
Draws
60%
Southampton U23
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Southampton U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Southampton U23 have won more games recently than Notts County U23.
  • Model gives Southampton U23 a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Southampton U23 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Southampton U23, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Notts County U23 Clean Sheet 10%
Southampton U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Notts County U23 Southampton U23
Matches Played 8 32
Wins 1 14
Draws 2 4
Losses 5 14
Goals Scored 1.88 1.97
Goals Conceded 3.38 1.78
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2019 Premier League Cup
Southampton U23 vs Notts County U23
6:2
Nov 28, 2018 Premier League Cup
Notts County U23 vs Southampton U23
0:7

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Notts County U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Southampton U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Johnson T.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Smallbone W.
3 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Notts County U23 10 / 100
Southampton U23 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Notts County U23 Southampton U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Southampton U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 7.50 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Notts County U23 scored in 75% of their last 8 outings.

Defensive concern: Southampton U23 conceded in 75% of 32 recent games.

Southampton U23's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Notts County U23 VS Southampton U23
3 Goals Scored 1.38
3 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 63%
100% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Notts County U23

(Home)
01 Aug
Loughborough Dynamo
3 : 3
Notts County U23
22 Feb
Southampton U23
6 : 2
Notts County U23
15 Feb
Leeds U23
2 : 1
Notts County U23
22 Jan
Notts County U23
2 : 2
Newcastle Utd U23
28 Nov
Notts County U23
0 : 7
Southampton U23
Page 1 of 2

Southampton U23

(Away)
25 Jul
FC Andorra
2 : 0
Southampton U23
13 Jul
FC Cartagena SAD
2 : 0
Southampton U23
01 May
Southampton U23
1 : 0
Sunderland U23
25 Apr
Newcastle Utd U23
2 : 4
Southampton U23
02 Apr
Burnley U23
2 : 1
Southampton U23
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stoke City U23 6 4 1 1 17:8 13
2 Sunderland U23 6 4 0 2 18:13 12
3 Peterborough U23 6 2 0 4 11:18 6
4 Charlton U23 6 1 1 4 6:13 4
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Everton U23 6 4 2 0 11:5 14
2 Blackburn U23 6 3 1 2 14:6 10
3 Sheffield Utd U23 6 3 0 3 9:9 9
4 Doncaster U23 6 0 1 5 6:20 1
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Burnley U23 6 2 3 1 9:12 9
2 Bournemouth U23 6 2 2 2 13:10 8
3 Liverpool U23 6 1 4 1 5:4 7
4 West Brom U23 6 1 3 2 6:7 6
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nottingham U23 6 5 1 0 17:6 16
2 Leicester U23 6 1 3 2 8:8 6
3 Exeter U23 6 1 3 2 7:11 6
4 Norwich U23 6 0 3 3 5:12 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Swansea U23 6 3 2 1 9:5 11
2 Wolves U23 6 3 2 1 7:5 11
3 Oxford Utd U23 6 2 1 3 6:7 7
4 Hull City U23 6 1 1 4 6:11 4
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Derby U23 6 4 1 1 18:4 13
2 Aston Villa U23 6 4 0 2 15:6 12
3 Plymouth U23 6 1 3 2 6:8 6
4 Bristol City U23 6 0 2 4 4:25 2
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Reading U23 6 4 1 1 15:7 13
2 Fulham U23 6 4 0 2 16:5 12
3 Birmingham U23 6 3 1 2 11:9 10
4 Colchester U23 6 0 0 6 3:24 0
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Leeds U23 6 4 0 2 14:8 12
2 Newcastle Utd U23 6 3 2 1 11:7 11
3 Southampton U23 6 3 1 2 18:10 10
4 Notts County U23 6 0 1 5 6:24 1
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)