Sport Picks
Notts County vs Barnsley
England
EFL Trophy 2025/2026 Meadow Lane, Nottingham 
Match Events
6'
6'
Bland J.
9'
9'
Luker J.
Assist: Kouhyar Q.
45'
45'
Norburn O.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 2-1, with Notts County advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
70%
17%
13%
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Notts County
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
88%
/ Very High Confidence
- Notts County carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Notts County a 70% chance of winning this.
- Notts County have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Notts County, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Notts County Clean Sheet 20%
Barnsley Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Notts County | Barnsley |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 16 | 8 |
| Draws | 3 | 9 |
| Losses | 11 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.63 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.63 | 1.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 30, 2025 EFL Trophy
Notts County vs Barnsley
2:1
Nov 10, 2018 FA Cup
Barnsley vs Notts County
4:0
Apr 14, 2015 League One
Notts County vs Barnsley
1:1
Oct 21, 2014 League One
Barnsley vs Notts County
2:3
Jan 31, 2004 League One
Notts County vs Barnsley
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Notts County Compare
Top Goalscorer Luker J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Hall T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Barnsley Compare
Top Goalscorer Keillor-Dunn D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Notts County 67 / 100
Barnsley 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Notts County Barnsley
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick NOT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Barnsley conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.
These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.
Notts County's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Away concern: Barnsley has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Notts County VS Barnsley
1.5 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Notts County
(Home) 18 Jul
Notts County
0 : 2 Nottingham
14 Jul
Randers FC
3 : 1 Notts County
11 Jul
Viborg
2 : 0 Notts County
04 Jul
Alfreton
0 : 5 Notts County
25 May
Notts County
3 : 0 Salford
Page 1 of 6
18 Jul
Notts County
0 : 2 Nottingham
25 May
Notts County
3 : 0 Salford
15 May
Notts County
0 : 0 Chesterfield
02 May
Notts County
1 : 1 Bristol Rovers
18 Apr
Notts County
1 : 2 Barnet
Page 1 of 3
Barnsley
(Away) 18 Jul
Blackburn
3 : 0 Barnsley
11 Jul
York City
2 : 1 Barnsley
04 Jul
Matlock
0 : 2 Barnsley
02 May
Barnsley
1 : 3 Stockport County
28 Apr
Northampton
0 : 1 Barnsley
Page 1 of 6
18 Jul
Blackburn
3 : 0 Barnsley
11 Jul
York City
2 : 1 Barnsley
04 Jul
Matlock
0 : 2 Barnsley
28 Apr
Northampton
0 : 1 Barnsley
25 Apr
Luton
2 : 1 Barnsley
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9:3 | 9 |
| 2 | Stockport County | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:7 | 5 |
| 3 | Wolves U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7:10 | 3 |
| 4 | Wigan | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | 1 |
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tranmere | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:4 | 8 |
| 2 | Blackpool | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:3 | 6 |
| 3 | Barrow | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:7 | 3 |
| 4 | Nottingham U21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:6 | 1 |
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Doncaster | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:2 | 9 |
| 2 | Bradford City | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:5 | 6 |
| 3 | Grimsby | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:8 | 3 |
| 4 | Everton U21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5:12 | 0 |
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lincoln City | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:0 | 9 |
| 2 | Barnsley | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:6 | 3 |
| 3 | Manchester United U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:8 | 3 |
| 4 | Notts County | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | 3 |
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bolton | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:2 | 9 |
| 2 | Rotherham | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:5 | 6 |
| 3 | Manchester City U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7:8 | 3 |
| 4 | Oldham | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5:14 | 0 |
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 6)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Harrogate | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 9 |
| 2 | Huddersfield | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:4 | 6 |
| 3 | Newcastle Utd U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:11 | 2 |
| 4 | Mansfield | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:6 | 1 |
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 7)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Port Vale | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:4 | 7 |
| 2 | Fleetwood Town | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9:5 | 7 |
| 3 | Accrington | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | 4 |
| 4 | Leeds U21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:11 | 0 |
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 8)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crewe | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12:2 | 9 |
| 2 | Chesterfield | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:9 | 4 |
| 3 | Burton | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 4 | Liverpool U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | 2 |
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 9)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cardiff | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 6 |
| 2 | Exeter | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 3 | Newport | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:3 | 3 |
| 4 | Arsenal U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:8 | 3 |
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 10)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bristol Rovers | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:4 | 8 |
| 2 | Plymouth | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:3 | 6 |
| 3 | Cheltenham | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | 2 |
| 4 | Tottenham U21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8:12 | 2 |
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 11)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Northampton | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 9 |
| 2 | Walsall | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 5 |
| 3 | Shrewsbury | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | 3 |
| 4 | Chelsea U21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:6 | 1 |
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 12)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swindon | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:5 | 6 |
| 2 | West Ham U21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:6 | 6 |
| 3 | Reading | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 6 |
| 4 | Milton Keynes Dons | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:10 | 0 |
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 13)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stevenage | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12:4 | 9 |
| 2 | AFC Wimbledon | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:7 | 6 |
| 3 | Bromley | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:7 | 2 |
| 4 | Crystal Palace U21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6:11 | 1 |
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 14)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leyton Orient | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | 9 |
| 2 | Peterborough | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:6 | 6 |
| 3 | Crawley Town | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:6 | 3 |
| 4 | Aston Villa U21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4:9 | 0 |
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 15)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colchester | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | 9 |
| 2 | Wycombe | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 6 |
| 3 | Gillingham | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | 3 |
| 4 | Fulham U21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:9 | 0 |
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 16)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Luton | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:5 | 6 |
| 2 | Cambridge Utd | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 6 |
| 3 | Barnet | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:7 | 5 |
| 4 | Brighton U21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | 1 |
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)