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Notts County vs Bradford City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

League One Meadow Lane, Nottingham
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Touray I.
14'
Sarcevic A.
39'
Evans J.

AI Match Summary

Bradford City in this League One matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bradford City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Notts County
30%
Draws
51%
Bradford City
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bradford City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bradford City lately — more wins on the board than Notts County.
  • Win probability leans Bradford City's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Notts County Clean Sheet 22%
Bradford City Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Notts County Bradford City
Matches Played 26 29
Wins 9 17
Draws 7 5
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.31 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.31 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 League One
Notts County vs Bradford City
0:1
Apr 17, 2025 League Two
Bradford City vs Notts County
1:1
Dec 21, 2024 League Two
Notts County vs Bradford City
3:0
Mar 19, 2024 League Two
Bradford City vs Notts County
0:3
Nov 18, 2023 League Two
Notts County vs Bradford City
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Notts County Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Bradford City Compare

Top Goalscorer Pratt G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Notts County 16 / 100
Bradford City 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Notts County Bradford City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bradford City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Notts County scored in 69% of their last 26 games.

Bradford City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Notts County has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Notts County VS Bradford City
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Notts County

(Home)
22 Sept
Notts County
2 : 1
Grimsby
19 Sept
Reading
2 : 0
Notts County
12 Sept
Notts County
0 : 1
Bradford City
05 Sept
Huddersfield
1 : 1
Notts County
01 Sept
Doncaster
1 : 1
Notts County
Page 1 of 6

Bradford City

(Away)
06 Oct
Rotherham
0 : 4
Bradford City
03 Oct
Reading
1 : 1
Bradford City
22 Sept
Bradford City
2 : 1
Newcastle Utd U21
19 Sept
Luton
0 : 1
Bradford City
12 Sept
Notts County
0 : 1
Bradford City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Plymouth 9 5 1 3 16:11 16
2 Bradford City 8 5 1 2 8:5 16
3 Huddersfield 8 4 3 1 14:7 15
4 Sheffield Wed 7 4 2 1 13:6 14
5 Stockport County 8 4 1 3 17:10 13
6 Cambridge Utd 8 3 4 1 13:11 13
7 Reading 8 3 3 2 17:10 12
8 Burton 9 3 3 3 14:15 12
9 AFC Wimbledon 8 3 3 2 6:8 12
10 Oxford Utd 6 3 2 1 13:7 11
11 Leyton Orient 8 3 1 4 13:11 10
12 Wycombe 8 2 4 2 13:16 10
13 Stevenage 7 2 3 2 11:8 9
14 Leicester 7 2 3 2 9:11 9
15 Blackpool 7 2 2 3 13:13 8
16 Luton 7 2 2 3 12:14 8
17 Mansfield 7 2 2 3 10:13 8
18 Barnsley 7 2 2 3 7:12 8
19 Bromley 7 2 2 3 8:18 8
20 Notts County 7 1 4 2 7:9 7
21 Doncaster 7 1 3 3 8:9 6
22 Milton Keynes Dons 7 0 6 1 8:10 6
23 Peterborough 8 1 2 5 4:13 5
24 Wigan 7 1 1 5 5:12 4
Promotion - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)