Sport Picks
Notts County vs Leicester - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
League One Meadow Lane, Nottingham 
Match Events
15'
15'
Evans J.
21'
21'
Paterson M.
43'
43'
Gibbons J.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this League One matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
30%
41%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Leicester
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Leicester lately — more wins on the board than Notts County.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Notts County Clean Sheet 17%
Leicester Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Notts County | Leicester |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 26 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 10 |
| Draws | 7 | 10 |
| Losses | 10 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.31 | 1.41 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.31 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 15, 2026 League One
Notts County vs Leicester
1:1
Jul 9, 2022 Club Friendly
Leicester vs Notts County
1:2
Jul 21, 2018 Club Friendly
Notts County vs Leicester
1:4
Mar 26, 1994 Championship
Notts County vs Leicester
4:1
Oct 2, 1993 Championship
Leicester vs Notts County
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Notts County Compare
Top Goalscorer Grant C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Leicester Compare
Top Goalscorer Joseph J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Notts County 31 / 100
Leicester 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Notts County Leicester
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.
Notts County found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (26 games).
Leicester let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.
Solid form: Notts County remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Notts County VS Leicester
0.75 Goals Scored 1.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Notts County
(Home) 22 Sept
Notts County
2 : 1 Grimsby
19 Sept
Reading
2 : 0 Notts County
12 Sept
Notts County
0 : 1 Bradford City
05 Sept
Huddersfield
1 : 1 Notts County
01 Sept
Doncaster
1 : 1 Notts County
Page 1 of 6
22 Sept
Notts County
2 : 1 Grimsby
12 Sept
Notts County
0 : 1 Bradford City
29 Aug
Notts County
2 : 1 Burton
15 Aug
Notts County
1 : 1 Leicester
18 Jul
Notts County
0 : 2 Nottingham
Page 1 of 3
Leicester
(Away) 06 Oct
Stevenage
2 : 1 Leicester
22 Sept
Leicester
6 : 1 Fulham U21
19 Sept
Barnsley
1 : 1 Leicester
12 Sept
Stockport County
3 : 4 Leicester
05 Sept
Leicester
0 : 4 Oxford Utd
Page 1 of 6
06 Oct
Stevenage
2 : 1 Leicester
19 Sept
Barnsley
1 : 1 Leicester
12 Sept
Stockport County
3 : 4 Leicester
29 Aug
Milton Keynes Dons
0 : 0 Leicester
25 Aug
Ipswich
3 : 1 Leicester
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Plymouth | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 16:11 | 16 |
| 2 | Bradford City | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 8:5 | 16 |
| 3 | Huddersfield | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14:7 | 15 |
| 4 | Sheffield Wed | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13:6 | 14 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17:10 | 13 |
| 6 | Cambridge Utd | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 13:11 | 13 |
| 7 | Reading | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 17:10 | 12 |
| 8 | Burton | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:15 | 12 |
| 9 | AFC Wimbledon | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 6:8 | 12 |
| 10 | Oxford Utd | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13:7 | 11 |
| 11 | Leyton Orient | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13:11 | 10 |
| 12 | Wycombe | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 13:16 | 10 |
| 13 | Stevenage | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11:8 | 9 |
| 14 | Leicester | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 15 | Blackpool | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13:13 | 8 |
| 16 | Luton | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12:14 | 8 |
| 17 | Mansfield | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:13 | 8 |
| 18 | Barnsley | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:12 | 8 |
| 19 | Bromley | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:18 | 8 |
| 20 | Notts County | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7:9 | 7 |
| 21 | Doncaster | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8:9 | 6 |
| 22 | Milton Keynes Dons | 7 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 8:10 | 6 |
| 23 | Peterborough | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4:13 | 5 |
| 24 | Wigan | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:12 | 4 |
Promotion - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)
