Sport Picks
Notts County vs Leicester
England
League One Meadow Lane, Nottingham 
Match Events
15'
15'
Evans J.
21'
21'
Paterson M.
43'
43'
Gibbons J.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this League One matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
13%
35%
52%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Leicester
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Notts County lately — more wins on the board than Leicester.
- Win probability leans Leicester's way, sitting at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Notts County Clean Sheet 18%
Leicester Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Notts County | Leicester |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 29 |
| Wins | 16 | 8 |
| Draws | 5 | 11 |
| Losses | 11 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.56 | 1.28 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 15, 2026 League One
Notts County vs Leicester
1:1
Jul 9, 2022 Club Friendly
Leicester vs Notts County
1:2
Jul 21, 2018 Club Friendly
Notts County vs Leicester
1:4
Mar 26, 1994 Championship
Notts County vs Leicester
4:1
Oct 2, 1993 Championship
Leicester vs Notts County
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Notts County Compare
Top Goalscorer Grant C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Leicester Compare
Top Goalscorer Joseph J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Notts County 28 / 100
Leicester 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Notts County Leicester
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Leicester Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.
Notts County found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (32 games).
Leicester let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.
Solid form: Notts County remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Notts County VS Leicester
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Notts County
(Home) 15 Aug
Notts County
1 : 1 Leicester
08 Aug
Burnley
2 : 1 Notts County
01 Aug
Walsall
0 : 0 Notts County
18 Jul
Notts County
0 : 2 Nottingham
14 Jul
Randers FC
3 : 1 Notts County
Page 1 of 7
15 Aug
Notts County
1 : 1 Leicester
18 Jul
Notts County
0 : 2 Nottingham
25 May
Notts County
3 : 0 Salford
15 May
Notts County
0 : 0 Chesterfield
02 May
Notts County
1 : 1 Bristol Rovers
Page 1 of 3
Leicester
(Away) 15 Aug
Notts County
1 : 1 Leicester
08 Aug
Leicester
1 : 0 Northampton
01 Aug
Leicester
0 : 1 Genoa
25 Jul
Malaga
3 : 3 Leicester
22 Jul
Cadiz
0 : 1 Leicester
Page 1 of 6
15 Aug
Notts County
1 : 1 Leicester
25 Jul
Malaga
3 : 3 Leicester
22 Jul
Cadiz
0 : 1 Leicester
18 Jul
Burton
0 : 3 Leicester
14 Jul
Bristol Rovers
1 : 2 Leicester
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bradford City | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 6 |
| 2 | Huddersfield | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 4 |
| 3 | Luton | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:5 | 4 |
| 4 | Cambridge Utd | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 5 | Oxford Utd | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 6 | Blackpool | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 4 |
| 7 | Burton | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 4 |
| 8 | Bromley | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 4 |
| 9 | Stockport County | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 3 |
| 10 | Leyton Orient | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 11 | Mansfield | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 12 | Sheffield Wed | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 3 |
| 13 | Peterborough | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 3 |
| 14 | Milton Keynes Dons | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:3 | 2 |
| 15 | Notts County | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:3 | 2 |
| 16 | Wycombe | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 2 |
| 17 | Reading | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | 1 |
| 18 | Leicester | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 1 |
| 19 | Stevenage | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 1 |
| 20 | Doncaster | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 21 | Barnsley | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:1 | 1 |
| 22 | Plymouth | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | 1 |
| 23 | AFC Wimbledon | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:3 | 1 |
| 24 | Wigan | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | 0 |
Promotion - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)
