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Notts County W vs Birmingham W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Women's League Cup 2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Notts County W in this Women's League Cup 2015 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Notts County W
15%
Draws
21%
Birmingham W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Notts County W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

21% / Low Confidence
  • Notts County W haven't matched Birmingham W's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Birmingham W's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Birmingham W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Birmingham W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Notts County W Clean Sheet 10%
Birmingham W Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Notts County W Birmingham W
Matches Played 21 32
Wins 6 17
Draws 3 3
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.05 2.13
Goals Conceded 2.14 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2017 WSL
Notts County W vs Birmingham W
0:0
May 22, 2016 WSL
Birmingham W vs Notts County W
1:0
May 8, 2016 WSL
Notts County W vs Birmingham W
0:1
Sep 27, 2015 WSL
Notts County W vs Birmingham W
0:1
Jul 22, 2015 Women's League Cup
Notts County W vs Birmingham W
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Notts County W 14 / 100
Birmingham W 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Notts County W Birmingham W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Birmingham W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Birmingham W conceded in 66% of 32 recent games.

Difficult form: Birmingham W registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Notts County W's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 21 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

Notts County W VS Birmingham W
0 Goals Scored 1.75
3 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 50%
100% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Notts County W

(Home)
02 Aug
Notts County W
0 : 3
Peterborough W
03 Nov
Notts County W
0 : 5
Sporting Khalsa W
09 Jul
Notts County W
0 : 6
Milton Keynes Dons W
26 Mar
Liverpool W
2 : 0
Notts County W
19 Mar
Notts County W
3 : 2
Yeovil W
Page 1 of 5

Birmingham W

(Away)
04 Oct
Everton W
2 : 1
Birmingham W
30 Sept
Birmingham W
3 : 4
Liverpool W
27 Sept
Birmingham W
3 : 3
Crystal Palace W
23 Sept
Everton W
2 : 0
Birmingham W
19 Sept
Chelsea W
2 : 0
Birmingham W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arsenal W 5 5 0 0 14:2 15
2 Chelsea W 5 4 0 1 20:4 12
3 Reading W 5 3 0 2 12:7 9
4 London City Lionesses W 5 2 0 3 10:18 6
5 Watford W 5 1 0 4 6:15 3
6 London Bees W 5 0 0 5 6:22 0
Promotion - Women's League Cup 2015 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Women's League Cup 2015 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City W 5 5 0 0 15:1 15
2 Liverpool W 5 4 0 1 8:2 12
3 Doncaster W 5 3 0 2 11:10 9
4 Sunderland W 5 2 0 3 10:11 6
5 Everton W 5 1 0 4 6:12 3
6 Durham W 5 0 0 5 1:15 0
Promotion - Women's League Cup 2015 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Women's League Cup 2015 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Notts County W 5 5 0 0 19:2 15
2 Birmingham W 5 4 0 1 17:3 12
3 Bristol City W 5 3 0 2 10:5 9
4 Yeovil W 5 2 0 3 4:13 6
5 Aston Villa W 5 1 0 4 5:20 3
6 Oxford Utd W 5 0 0 5 4:16 0
Promotion - Women's League Cup 2015 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Women's League Cup 2015 (Play Offs)