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Notts County W vs Bristol City W

England England

Women's League Cup 2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Notts County W play Bristol City W in the Women's League Cup 2015. It looks like a close match. Recently, Notts County W averaged 1.14 goals scored and 2.1 conceded. Bristol City W averaged 1.83 goals scored and 1.52 conceded. In past meetings, Notts County W won 3, Bristol City W won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 28, 2017 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.23 for Notts County W and 1.99 for Bristol City W. This points to a Bristol City W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Notts County W
17%
Draws
46%
Bristol City W
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Bristol City W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Notts County W picked up more points recently compared to Bristol City W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.23 vs 1.99 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 62%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%
Notts County W Clean Sheet 10%
Bristol City W Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 76%
Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Notts County W Bristol City W
Matches Played 21 29
Wins 6 13
Draws 4 4
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.14 1.83
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.52

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 28, 2017 WSL
Notts County W vs Bristol City W
0:0
Aug 16, 2015 Women's League Cup
Notts County W vs Bristol City W
1:0
Aug 5, 2015 WSL
Notts County W vs Bristol City W
0:1
Apr 25, 2015 WSL
Bristol City W vs Notts County W
2:5
Oct 4, 2014 WSL
Bristol City W vs Notts County W
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Notts County W 35 / 100
Bristol City W 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Notts County W Bristol City W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Bristol City W or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +27.6%
3.45
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.79
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Notts County W attacking → ← attacking Bristol City W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Notts County W scored in 62% of their last 21 games.

Bristol City W let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Notts County W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Bristol City W lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

22 Points in last 5 43
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.88
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Arsenal W550014:215
2Chelsea W540120:412
3Reading W530212:79
4London City Lionesses W520310:186
5Watford W51046:153
6London Bees W50056:220
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Manchester City W550015:115
2Liverpool W54018:212
3Doncaster W530211:109
4Sunderland W520310:116
5Everton W51046:123
6Durham W50051:150
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Notts County W550019:215
2Birmingham W540117:312
3Bristol City W530210:59
4Yeovil W52034:136
5Aston Villa W51045:203
6Oxford Utd W50054:160