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Notts County W vs Durham W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Women’s FA Cup 2015/2016
Notts County W Logo

Notts County W

3 - 1
FT
Durham W Logo

Durham W

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-1, with Notts County W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Notts County W
15%
Draws
0%
Durham W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Notts County W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Notts County W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Notts County W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Notts County W, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Notts County W Clean Sheet 10%
Durham W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Notts County W Durham W
Matches Played 21 30
Wins 6 4
Draws 3 7
Losses 12 19
Goals Scored 1.05 1.1
Goals Conceded 2.14 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 20, 2016 Women’s FA Cup
Notts County W vs Durham W
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Notts County W 29 / 100
Durham W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Notts County W Durham W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Notts County W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Durham W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Durham W has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Notts County W found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (21 games).

Scoring Trends

Notts County W VS Durham W
0 Goals Scored 1
3 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Notts County W

(Home)
02 Aug
Notts County W
0 : 3
Peterborough W
03 Nov
Notts County W
0 : 5
Sporting Khalsa W
09 Jul
Notts County W
0 : 6
Milton Keynes Dons W
26 Mar
Liverpool W
2 : 0
Notts County W
19 Mar
Notts County W
3 : 2
Yeovil W
Page 1 of 5

Durham W

(Away)
04 Oct
Durham W
0 : 3
Newcastle Utd W
30 Sept
Durham W
1 : 5
Manchester United W
27 Sept
Sheffield Utd W
4 : 1
Durham W
20 Sept
Durham W
1 : 2
Nottingham W
13 Sept
Leicester W
4 : 2
Durham W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Birmingham W -
TBD -
TBD -
Arsenal W -
Notts County W -
TBD -
Durham W 3
Charlton W 1
Bristol City W 0
Yeovil W 1
TBD -
Sunderland W -
Reading W -
TBD -
Loughborough Foxes W 0
London City Lionesses W 1
Doncaster W -
TBD -
TBD -
Chelsea W -
Tottenham W 2
Aston Villa W 3
Everton W 5
Nottingham W 0
Liverpool W -
TBD -
TBD -
Manchester City W -
Brighton W 5
Blackburn W 2
Sheffield Wed W 1
Sporting Club Albion W 3
1/8-finals
Birmingham W 1
Arsenal W 2
Notts County W 3
Durham W 1
Yeovil W 0
Sunderland W 2
Reading W 2
London City Lionesses W 0
Doncaster W 1
Chelsea W 4
Aston Villa W 1
Everton W 0
Liverpool W 0
Manchester City W 2
Brighton W 3
Sporting Club Albion W 4
Quarter-finals
Arsenal W 3
Notts County W 2
Sunderland W 3
Reading W 0
Chelsea W 6
Aston Villa W 0
Manchester City W 2
Sporting Club Albion W 0
Semi-finals
Arsenal W 7
Sunderland W 0
Chelsea W 2
Manchester City W 1
Final
Arsenal W 1
Chelsea W 0