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Stadium Background

Nouadhibou vs Nzeidane

Mauritania Mauritania

Ligue 1
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Diop B.
Own Goal
36' Event
Dembele K.
80'

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 game between Nouadhibou and Nzeidane finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nouadhibou.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Nouadhibou
35%
Draws
38%
Nzeidane
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Nzeidane

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nouadhibou come out ahead of Nzeidane on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Nouadhibou here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Nouadhibou Clean Sheet 20%
Nzeidane Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nouadhibou Nzeidane
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 19 14
Draws 10 9
Losses 3 7
Goals Scored 1.72 1.53
Goals Conceded 0.59 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Ligue 1
Nzeidane vs Nouadhibou
2:1
Dec 7, 2025 Ligue 1
Nouadhibou vs Nzeidane
2:1
May 27, 2025 Ligue 1
Nouadhibou vs Nzeidane
2:0
Jan 19, 2025 Ligue 1
Nzeidane vs Nouadhibou
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nouadhibou Compare

Top Goalscorer Dembele K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cisse M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Nzeidane Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nouadhibou 32 / 100
Nzeidane 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nouadhibou Nzeidane

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nzeidane Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nouadhibou's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Nzeidane's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Nouadhibou stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nouadhibou VS Nzeidane
2.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Nouadhibou

(Home)
13 Sept
Nouadhibou
0 : 0
Vipers
05 Sept
Vipers
1 : 1
Nouadhibou
23 May
Nouadhibou
1 : 0
Inter Nouakchott
17 May
Nouakchott King's
3 : 2
Nouadhibou
10 May
Nouadhibou
4 : 1
Police
Page 1 of 7

Nzeidane

(Away)
25 May
Nzeidane
3 : 0
Douane
19 May
Ksar
2 : 3
Nzeidane
10 May
Nzeidane
4 : 1
Tevragh-Zeina
03 May
Nzeidane
1 : 1
Gendrim
29 Apr
Nzeidane
0 : 0
Nouakchott Academy
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nouadhibou 26 17 7 2 49:15 58
2 Nzeidane 26 13 7 6 42:35 46
3 Douane 26 12 9 5 40:29 45
4 Pompiers 26 11 11 4 29:22 44
5 Nouakchott Academy 26 10 9 7 32:22 39
6 Gendrim 26 9 10 7 26:29 37
7 Chemal 26 10 6 10 34:35 36
8 Nouakchott King's 26 8 10 8 37:34 34
9 SNIM 26 7 12 7 29:28 33
10 Tevragh-Zeina 26 7 11 8 34:33 32
11 Police 26 5 11 10 28:31 26
12 Kaedi 26 5 8 13 21:37 23
13 Ksar 26 4 5 17 23:48 17
14 Inter Nouakchott 26 3 6 17 24:50 15
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)