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Nouakchott King's vs Chemal

Mauritania Mauritania

Ligue 1
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
75' Event

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Ligue 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Nouakchott King's
15%
Draws
39%
Chemal
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nouakchott King's

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Nouakchott King's haven't matched Chemal's recent run of results.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Nouakchott King's taking it.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Nouakchott King's Clean Sheet 68%
Chemal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nouakchott King's Chemal
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 12
Draws 11 8
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.5 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2026 Ligue 1
Chemal vs Nouakchott King's
3:4
Dec 30, 2025 Ligue 1
Nouakchott King's vs Chemal
1:1
Feb 8, 2025 Ligue 1
Nouakchott King's vs Chemal
2:2
Sep 14, 2024 Ligue 1
Chemal vs Nouakchott King's
0:1
Feb 17, 2024 Ligue 1
Chemal vs Nouakchott King's
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nouakchott King's 59 / 100
Chemal 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nouakchott King's Chemal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nouakchott King's Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Attacking prowess: Nouakchott King's scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Chemal conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Nouakchott King's remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Nouakchott King's VS Chemal
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Nouakchott King's

(Home)
23 May
Nouakchott King's
2 : 0
Kaedi
17 May
Nouakchott King's
3 : 2
Nouadhibou
12 May
Chemal
3 : 4
Nouakchott King's
07 May
Nouakchott King's
1 : 2
Nouakchott Academy
11 Apr
SNIM
1 : 3
Nouakchott King's
Page 1 of 6

Chemal

(Away)
25 May
Chemal
1 : 0
Pompiers
16 May
Inter Nouakchott
3 : 5
Chemal
12 May
Chemal
3 : 4
Nouakchott King's
03 May
Police
0 : 1
Chemal
11 Apr
Chemal
1 : 1
Douane
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nouadhibou 26 17 7 2 49:15 58
2 Nzeidane 26 13 7 6 42:35 46
3 Douane 26 12 9 5 40:29 45
4 Pompiers 26 11 11 4 29:22 44
5 Nouakchott Academy 26 10 9 7 32:22 39
6 Gendrim 26 9 10 7 26:29 37
7 Chemal 26 10 6 10 34:35 36
8 Nouakchott King's 26 8 10 8 37:34 34
9 SNIM 26 7 12 7 29:28 33
10 Tevragh-Zeina 26 7 11 8 34:33 32
11 Police 26 5 11 10 28:31 26
12 Kaedi 26 5 8 13 21:37 23
13 Ksar 26 4 5 17 23:48 17
14 Inter Nouakchott 26 3 6 17 24:50 15
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)