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Nouakchott King's vs Kaedi

Mauritania Mauritania

Ligue 1
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Souleyman C.
60' Event
Fodie T.

AI Match Summary

Nouakchott King's in this Ligue 1 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nouakchott King's.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Nouakchott King's
15%
Draws
31%
Kaedi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nouakchott King's

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Nouakchott King's lately — more wins on the board than Kaedi.
  • Nouakchott King's are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Nouakchott King's Clean Sheet 68%
Kaedi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nouakchott King's Kaedi
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 11 7
Draws 11 8
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 1.52 0.94
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Ligue 1
Nouakchott King's vs Kaedi
2:0
Jan 10, 2026 Ligue 1
Kaedi vs Nouakchott King's
0:0
May 5, 2025 Ligue 1
Nouakchott King's vs Kaedi
3:1
Jan 2, 2025 Ligue 1
Kaedi vs Nouakchott King's
3:3
Apr 4, 2024 Ligue 1
Nouakchott King's vs Kaedi
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nouakchott King's Compare

Top Goalscorer Souleyman C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fodie T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Kaedi Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nouakchott King's 95 / 100
Kaedi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nouakchott King's Kaedi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nouakchott King's Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Nouakchott King's's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Kaedi let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

Nouakchott King's has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Nouakchott King's VS Kaedi
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Nouakchott King's

(Home)
23 May
Nouakchott King's
2 : 0
Kaedi
17 May
Nouakchott King's
3 : 2
Nouadhibou
12 May
Chemal
3 : 4
Nouakchott King's
07 May
Nouakchott King's
1 : 2
Nouakchott Academy
11 Apr
SNIM
1 : 3
Nouakchott King's
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Kaedi

(Away)
23 May
Nouakchott King's
2 : 0
Kaedi
20 May
Police
0 : 1
Kaedi
09 May
Kaedi
1 : 1
Douane
04 May
Ksar
0 : 1
Kaedi
29 Apr
Kaedi
2 : 4
Tevragh-Zeina
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nouadhibou 26 17 7 2 49:15 58
2 Nzeidane 26 13 7 6 42:35 46
3 Douane 26 12 9 5 40:29 45
4 Pompiers 26 11 11 4 29:22 44
5 Nouakchott Academy 26 10 9 7 32:22 39
6 Gendrim 26 9 10 7 26:29 37
7 Chemal 26 10 6 10 34:35 36
8 Nouakchott King's 26 8 10 8 37:34 34
9 SNIM 26 7 12 7 29:28 33
10 Tevragh-Zeina 26 7 11 8 34:33 32
11 Police 26 5 11 10 28:31 26
12 Kaedi 26 5 8 13 21:37 23
13 Ksar 26 4 5 17 23:48 17
14 Inter Nouakchott 26 3 6 17 24:50 15
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)