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Nouakchott King's vs Nouakchott Academy - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mauritania Mauritania

Ligue 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event
74' Event
Obaid A.
87' Event

AI Match Summary

Nouakchott Academy in this Ligue 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nouakchott Academy.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Nouakchott King's
20%
Draws
38%
Nouakchott Academy
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nouakchott King's

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Nouakchott Academy have won more games recently than Nouakchott King's.
  • 42% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Ligue 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Nouakchott King's Clean Sheet 68%
Nouakchott Academy Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nouakchott King's Nouakchott Academy
Matches Played 29 26
Wins 9 10
Draws 11 9
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.45 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.28 0.85
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2026 Ligue 1
Nouakchott King's vs Nouakchott Academy
1:2
Dec 20, 2025 Ligue 1
Nouakchott Academy vs Nouakchott King's
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nouakchott King's Compare

Top Goalscorer Obaid A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Nouakchott Academy Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nouakchott King's 41 / 100
Nouakchott Academy 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nouakchott King's Nouakchott Academy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nouakchott King's Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nouakchott King's found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Nouakchott King's has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Nouakchott Academy let in goals in 50% of their last 26 matches.

Scoring Trends

Nouakchott King's VS Nouakchott Academy
1.88 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 13%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Nouakchott King's

(Home)
23 May
Nouakchott King's
2 : 0
Kaedi
17 May
Nouakchott King's
3 : 2
Nouadhibou
12 May
Chemal
3 : 4
Nouakchott King's
07 May
Nouakchott King's
1 : 2
Nouakchott Academy
11 Apr
SNIM
1 : 3
Nouakchott King's
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Nouakchott Academy

(Away)
24 May
Nouakchott Academy
2 : 1
SNIM
18 May
Pompiers
0 : 0
Nouakchott Academy
11 May
Nouakchott Academy
2 : 0
Inter Nouakchott
07 May
Nouakchott King's
1 : 2
Nouakchott Academy
29 Apr
Nzeidane
0 : 0
Nouakchott Academy
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nouadhibou 26 17 7 2 49:15 58
2 Nzeidane 26 13 7 6 42:35 46
3 Douane 26 12 9 5 40:29 45
4 Pompiers 26 11 11 4 29:22 44
5 Nouakchott Academy 26 10 9 7 32:22 39
6 Gendrim 26 9 10 7 26:29 37
7 Chemal 26 10 6 10 34:35 36
8 Nouakchott King's 26 8 10 8 37:34 34
9 SNIM 26 7 12 7 29:28 33
10 Tevragh-Zeina 26 7 11 8 34:33 32
11 Police 26 5 11 10 28:31 26
12 Kaedi 26 5 8 13 21:37 23
13 Ksar 26 4 5 17 23:48 17
14 Inter Nouakchott 26 3 6 17 24:50 15
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)