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Nova Andradina vs Ponta Pora Prediction & H2H Stats

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Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense 2020
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AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense 2020 game between Nova Andradina and Ponta Pora finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Nova Andradina
15%
Draws
85%
Ponta Pora
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ponta Pora

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ponta Pora come out ahead of Nova Andradina on wins alone.
  • Model gives Ponta Pora a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense 2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Nova Andradina Clean Sheet 16%
Ponta Pora Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nova Andradina Ponta Pora
Matches Played 9 9
Wins 0 1
Draws 2 1
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 0.56 0.67
Goals Conceded 2.44 1.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2020 Sul-Matogrossense
Nova Andradina vs Ponta Pora
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nova Andradina 10 / 100
Ponta Pora 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nova Andradina Ponta Pora

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ponta Pora Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ponta Pora's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 9 matches.

Ponta Pora's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Nova Andradina found the back of the net in 44% of recent matches (9 games).

These sides typically produce 0.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Nova Andradina VS Ponta Pora
0.63 Goals Scored 0.63
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Nova Andradina

(Home)
15 Mar
Comercial MS
3 : 0
Nova Andradina
07 Mar
Nova Andradina
2 : 6
Aquidauanense
04 Mar
Chapadao
4 : 1
Nova Andradina
29 Feb
Nova Andradina
0 : 2
Aguia Negra
22 Feb
Maracaju
1 : 0
Nova Andradina
Page 1 of 2

Ponta Pora

(Away)
14 Mar
Corumbaense
2 : 1
Ponta Pora
08 Mar
Ponta Pora
1 : 3
Comercial MS
04 Mar
Aquidauanense
2 : 1
Ponta Pora
01 Mar
Ponta Pora
0 : 2
Chapadao
16 Feb
Ponta Pora
2 : 0
Maracaju
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aguia Negra 9 5 3 1 14:8 18
2 Aquidauanense 9 5 3 1 18:9 18
3 Chapadao 9 5 2 2 16:10 17
4 Operario MS 9 5 2 2 14:9 17
5 Comercial MS 9 5 1 3 14:8 16
6 Costa Rica 9 3 2 4 13:14 11
7 Corumbaense 9 3 2 4 7:8 11
8 Maracaju 9 2 4 3 12:14 10
9 Ponta Pora 9 1 1 7 6:17 4
10 Nova Andradina 9 0 2 7 5:22 2
Promotion - Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense 2020 (Play Offs)