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Nova Cidade vs Campo Grande - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B1
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nova Cidade host Campo Grande in the Carioca B1. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Nova Cidade have averaged 0.9 scored and 1.14 conceded recently, against Campo Grande's 1.33 scored and 0.73 conceded. Head-to-head, Nova Cidade have won 1 to Campo Grande's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Nov 5, 2025, ending 1:0. The numbers (0.81 xG vs 1.06) point toward Campo Grande. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Nova Cidade
35%
Draws
52%
Campo Grande
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Campo Grande

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Campo Grande carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Campo Grande taking it.
  • Regular Carioca B1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Nova Cidade Clean Sheet 20%
Campo Grande Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nova Cidade Campo Grande
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 16
Draws 11 8
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 0.9 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.14 0.73
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 5, 2025 Carioca B1
Nova Cidade vs Campo Grande
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nova Cidade 24 / 100
Campo Grande 49 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nova Cidade Campo Grande

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Campo Grande Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nova Cidade's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Campo Grande conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Nova Cidade has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Nova Cidade VS Campo Grande
0.75 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Nova Cidade

(Home)
03 Oct
Audax RJ
0 : 0
Nova Cidade
26 Sept
Nova Cidade
1 : 2
Goytacaz
19 Sept
Niteroiense
1 : 0
Nova Cidade
12 Sept
Nova Cidade
2 : 2
Sao Cristovao
05 Sept
Duque de Caxias
3 : 0
Nova Cidade
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Campo Grande

(Away)
03 Oct
Campo Grande
0 : 0
Goncalense
26 Sept
Serrano FC
1 : 1
Campo Grande
19 Sept
Campo Grande
2 : 1
Macae
12 Sept
Artsul
3 : 2
Campo Grande
05 Sept
Campo Grande
1 : 0
AA Carapebus
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Niteroiense 5 4 1 0 7:1 13
2 Goytacaz 5 3 1 1 5:4 10
3 Duque de Caxias 5 3 0 2 9:5 9
4 Goncalense 5 2 3 0 6:3 9
5 Artsul 5 2 2 1 8:6 8
6 Campo Grande 5 2 2 1 6:5 8
7 Serrano FC 5 2 2 1 6:6 8
8 Macae 5 2 1 2 7:6 7
9 Sao Cristovao 5 1 2 2 3:4 5
10 Nova Cidade 5 0 2 3 3:8 2
11 AA Carapebus 5 0 1 4 4:10 1
12 Audax RJ 5 0 1 4 2:8 1
Promotion - Carioca B1 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca B2 2027 (Main)