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Nova Cidade vs Goytacaz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B1
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
42' Event
59' Event

AI Match Summary

The Carioca B1 game between Nova Cidade and Goytacaz finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Goytacaz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Nova Cidade
30%
Draws
58%
Goytacaz
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Goytacaz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Goytacaz carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Nova Cidade Clean Sheet 20%
Goytacaz Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nova Cidade Goytacaz
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 13
Draws 11 8
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 0.9 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.14 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Carioca B1
Nova Cidade vs Goytacaz
1:2
Nov 7, 2020 Carioca 2
Goytacaz vs Nova Cidade
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nova Cidade 36 / 100
Goytacaz 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nova Cidade Goytacaz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Goytacaz Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nova Cidade's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Goytacaz has conceded goals in 74% of their last 27 outings.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Recent resilience: Nova Cidade stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nova Cidade VS Goytacaz
0.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
38% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Nova Cidade

(Home)
03 Oct
Audax RJ
0 : 0
Nova Cidade
26 Sept
Nova Cidade
1 : 2
Goytacaz
19 Sept
Niteroiense
1 : 0
Nova Cidade
12 Sept
Nova Cidade
2 : 2
Sao Cristovao
05 Sept
Duque de Caxias
3 : 0
Nova Cidade
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Goytacaz

(Away)
03 Oct
Goytacaz
2 : 1
Duque de Caxias
26 Sept
Nova Cidade
1 : 2
Goytacaz
19 Sept
Goytacaz
0 : 2
Goncalense
12 Sept
Serrano FC
0 : 0
Goytacaz
05 Sept
Goytacaz
1 : 0
Macae
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Niteroiense 5 4 1 0 7:1 13
2 Goytacaz 5 3 1 1 5:4 10
3 Duque de Caxias 5 3 0 2 9:5 9
4 Goncalense 5 2 3 0 6:3 9
5 Artsul 5 2 2 1 8:6 8
6 Campo Grande 5 2 2 1 6:5 8
7 Serrano FC 5 2 2 1 6:6 8
8 Macae 5 2 1 2 7:6 7
9 Sao Cristovao 5 1 2 2 3:4 5
10 Nova Cidade 5 0 2 3 3:8 2
11 AA Carapebus 5 0 1 4 4:10 1
12 Audax RJ 5 0 1 4 2:8 1
Promotion - Carioca B1 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca B2 2027 (Main)