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Nova Cidade vs Serrano FC

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B1 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Robert Carioca
13' Event
Cleyton
65'
Marcelinho

AI Match Summary

The Carioca B1 2024 game between Nova Cidade and Serrano FC finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nova Cidade.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Nova Cidade
6%
Draws
4%
Serrano FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Nova Cidade

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Serrano FC come out ahead of Nova Cidade on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Nova Cidade taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Nova Cidade have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Nova Cidade Clean Sheet 68%
Serrano FC Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nova Cidade Serrano FC
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 9 12
Draws 11 11
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1 1.25
Goals Conceded 0 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2025 Carioca B1
Serrano FC vs Nova Cidade
0:1
Nov 2, 2024 Carioca B1
Nova Cidade vs Serrano FC
3:2
Oct 18, 2020 Carioca 2
Serrano FC vs Nova Cidade
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nova Cidade Compare

Top Goalscorer Robert Carioca
1 Goals
Assists Leader Freitas P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Serrano FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Cleyton
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nova Cidade 95 / 100
Serrano FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nova Cidade Serrano FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NOV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.67 goals as a typical output.

Nova Cidade found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Serrano FC let in goals in 74% of their last 35 matches.

Recent resilience: Nova Cidade stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nova Cidade VS Serrano FC
1 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Nova Cidade

(Home)
08 Nov
Nova Cidade
1 : 0
Friburguense
05 Nov
Nova Cidade
1 : 0
Campo Grande
01 Nov
Duque de Caxias
2 : 2
Nova Cidade
25 Oct
Bonsucesso
1 : 0
Nova Cidade
18 Oct
Nova Cidade
0 : 0
Artsul
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Serrano FC

(Away)
04 Jul
America RJ
5 : 0
Serrano FC
27 Jun
Serrano FC
0 : 3
Sao Goncalo
24 Jun
Sao Goncalo
3 : 2
Serrano FC
20 Jun
Resende
0 : 0
Serrano FC
17 Jun
Serrano FC
0 : 0
Sao Goncalo
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Artsul851210:516
2Paduano EC85126:316
3Sao Goncalo834110:213
4Perolas Negras83238:911
5Friburguense82425:410
6Nova Cidade824210:1110
7Sao Cristovao82153:97
8Serrano FC81345:96
9Belford Roxo80625:106
Promotion - Carioca B1 2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca B2 2024 (Main)