Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nova Iguacu U20 vs America RJ U20

Brazil Brazil

Copa Rio U20
Our Tip

Match Events

54' Event
Feijoli B.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Nova Iguacu U20
20%
Draws
51%
America RJ U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: America RJ U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • America RJ U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives America RJ U20 a 51% chance of winning this.
  • America RJ U20 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Nova Iguacu U20, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Nova Iguacu U20 Clean Sheet 10%
America RJ U20 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nova Iguacu U20 America RJ U20
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 6 14
Draws 7 2
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 0.93 1.54
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Copa Rio U20
Nova Iguacu U20 vs America RJ U20
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nova Iguacu U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Feijoli B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

America RJ U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nova Iguacu U20 26 / 100
America RJ U20 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nova Iguacu U20 America RJ U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick America RJ U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

America RJ U20 let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Nova Iguacu U20 scored in 64% of their last 28 games.

Recent resilience: Nova Iguacu U20 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Nova Iguacu U20 VS America RJ U20
1 Goals Scored 2.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Nova Iguacu U20

(Home)
20 Sept
Boavista U20
3 : 2
Nova Iguacu U20
12 Sept
Sampaio Correa FE U20
1 : 1
Nova Iguacu U20
05 Sept
Nova Iguacu U20
0 : 0
Portuguesa RJ U20
29 Aug
Marica U20
3 : 0
Nova Iguacu U20
21 Aug
Nova Iguacu U20
2 : 1
Vasco U20
Page 1 of 6

America RJ U20

(Away)
10 May
America RJ U20
0 : 1
Vasco U20
02 May
Vasco U20
4 : 1
America RJ U20
17 Apr
America RJ U20
4 : 2
Bangu U20
11 Apr
Bangu U20
1 : 2
America RJ U20
05 Apr
Marica U20
0 : 1
America RJ U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fluminense U20 7 5 2 0 17:2 17
2 Bangu U20 7 5 0 2 9:4 15
3 Botafogo RJ U20 7 4 3 0 19:3 15
4 Portuguesa RJ U20 7 3 1 3 11:9 10
5 Boavista U20 7 3 0 4 5:9 9
6 Resende U20 7 2 2 3 8:17 8
7 Olaria U20 7 1 1 5 3:13 4
8 Volta Redonda U20 7 0 1 6 5:20 1
Promotion - Copa Rio U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America RJ U20 7 6 0 1 16:8 18
2 Vasco U20 7 5 0 2 18:8 15
3 Flamengo RJ U20 7 4 0 3 21:10 12
4 Sampaio Correa U20 7 3 1 3 11:13 10
5 Madureira U20 7 3 1 3 6:10 10
6 Nova Iguacu U20 7 2 1 4 6:12 7
7 Cabofriense U20 7 2 1 4 7:18 7
8 Marica U20 7 1 0 6 5:11 3
Promotion - Copa Rio U20 (Play Offs)