Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nova Iguacu U20 vs Resende U20

Brazil Brazil

Copa Rio U20 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

84' Event
Wdson

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Nova Iguacu U20 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Nova Iguacu U20
35%
Draws
45%
Resende U20
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Resende U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Resende U20 come out ahead of Nova Iguacu U20 on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Resende U20 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Nova Iguacu U20, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 61.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Nova Iguacu U20 Clean Sheet 13%
Resende U20 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nova Iguacu U20 Resende U20
Matches Played 30 25
Wins 7 11
Draws 8 4
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 0.97 1.36
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.56
Expected Goals (xG) 1.14 1.70
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2025 Copa Rio U20
Nova Iguacu U20 vs Resende U20
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nova Iguacu U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Wdson
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.88
Avg xA / game 0.57

Resende U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.55
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nova Iguacu U20 31 / 100
Resende U20 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nova Iguacu U20 Resende U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Resende U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nova Iguacu U20's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Resende U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 25 matches.

Nova Iguacu U20 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Nova Iguacu U20 VS Resende U20
0.88 Goals Scored 1.4
2 Goals Conceded 1.4
63% Over 1.5 60%
63% Over 2.5 60%
63% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

Nova Iguacu U20

(Home)
27 Sept
Nova Iguacu U20
2 : 2
Madureira U20
20 Sept
Boavista U20
3 : 2
Nova Iguacu U20
12 Sept
Sampaio Correa FE U20
1 : 1
Nova Iguacu U20
05 Sept
Nova Iguacu U20
0 : 0
Portuguesa RJ U20
29 Aug
Marica U20
3 : 0
Nova Iguacu U20
Page 1 of 6

Resende U20

(Away)
04 Apr
Resende U20
0 : 3
Portuguesa RJ U20
29 Mar
Volta Redonda U20
3 : 3
Resende U20
25 Mar
Resende U20
3 : 0
Olaria U20
21 Mar
Bangu U20
1 : 0
Resende U20
18 Mar
Resende U20
1 : 0
Boavista U20
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Botafogo RJ U20 7 6 1 0 15:4 19
2 Vasco U20 7 5 2 0 21:6 17
3 Marica U20 7 5 0 2 10:6 15
4 Boavista U20 7 3 0 4 12:12 9
5 America RJ U20 7 2 2 3 10:11 8
6 Artsul U20 7 2 1 4 9:16 7
7 Americano RJ U20 7 1 0 6 6:14 3
8 Bangu U20 7 0 2 5 6:20 2
Promotion - Copa Rio U20 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Resende U20 7 5 0 2 8:5 15
2 Flamengo RJ U20 7 4 1 2 18:7 13
3 Fluminense U20 7 4 1 2 11:4 13
4 Nova Iguacu U20 7 3 2 2 7:4 11
5 Madureira U20 7 3 2 2 6:6 11
6 Volta Redonda U20 7 3 1 3 7:8 10
7 Portuguesa RJ U20 7 1 2 4 3:13 5
8 Sampaio Correa FE U20 7 0 1 6 5:18 1
Promotion - Copa Rio U20 2025 (Play Offs)