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Nova Iguacu U20 vs Vasco U20

Brazil Brazil

Copa Rio U20
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Renan
86'
90'

AI Match Summary

The Copa Rio U20 game between Nova Iguacu U20 and Vasco U20 finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vasco U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Nova Iguacu U20
39%
Draws
30%
Vasco U20
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vasco U20 come out ahead of Nova Iguacu U20 on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Copa Rio U20 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Vasco U20 here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Nova Iguacu U20 Clean Sheet 17%
Vasco U20 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nova Iguacu U20 Vasco U20
Matches Played 31 43
Wins 8 30
Draws 8 5
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 0 1.75
Goals Conceded 0 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Copa Rio U20
Nova Iguacu U20 vs Vasco U20
0:1
Aug 4, 2025 Carioca U20
Nova Iguacu U20 vs Vasco U20
1:2
Jun 8, 2024 Carioca U20
Nova Iguacu U20 vs Vasco U20
1:2
Mar 27, 2024 Copa Rio U20
Nova Iguacu U20 vs Vasco U20
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nova Iguacu U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Vasco U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Renan
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nova Iguacu U20 31 / 100
Vasco U20 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nova Iguacu U20 Vasco U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VAS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vasco U20 has conceded goals in 67% of their last 43 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.

Vasco U20's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Nova Iguacu U20 scored in 55% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Vasco U20
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Fluminense U20752017:217
2Bangu U2075029:415
3Botafogo RJ U20743019:315
4Portuguesa RJ U20731311:910
5Boavista U2073045:99
6Resende U2072238:178
7Olaria U2071153:134
8Volta Redonda U2070165:201
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1America RJ U20760116:818
2Vasco U20750218:815
3Flamengo RJ U20740321:1012
4Sampaio Correa U20731311:1310
5Madureira U2073136:1010
6Nova Iguacu U2072146:127
7Cabofriense U2072147:187
8Marica U2071065:113