Sport Picks
Nova Iguacu vs Sampaio Correa FE - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Brazil
Copa Rio 
Match Events
65'
65'
Bill
80'
80'
Leo Muchacho
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 2-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sampaio Correa FE
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Nova Iguacu average 1 goals a game right now, well clear of Sampaio Correa FE's 0.94.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
- Historical meetings favor Nova Iguacu, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 17%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Nova Iguacu Clean Sheet 20%
Sampaio Correa FE Clean Sheet 20%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nova Iguacu | Sampaio Correa FE |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 31 |
| Wins | 10 | 10 |
| Draws | 11 | 10 |
| Losses | 11 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 0.94 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.09 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.69 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 2, 2026 Copa Rio
Sampaio Correa FE vs Nova Iguacu
2:1
Aug 26, 2026 Copa Rio
Nova Iguacu vs Sampaio Correa FE
2:0
May 16, 2026 Serie D
Nova Iguacu vs Sampaio Correa FE
2:1
Apr 25, 2026 Serie D
Sampaio Correa FE vs Nova Iguacu
1:0
Mar 8, 2026 Carioca
Nova Iguacu vs Sampaio Correa FE
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Nova Iguacu Compare
Top Goalscorer Bill
1 Goals Assists Leader Leo Muchacho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34
Sampaio Correa FE Compare
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Nova Iguacu 32 / 100
Sampaio Correa FE 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Nova Iguacu Sampaio Correa FE
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Nova Iguacu's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 32 recent games.
Defensive concern: Sampaio Correa FE conceded in 71% of 31 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Nova Iguacu remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Nova Iguacu VS Sampaio Correa FE
1 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.38
50% Over 1.5 25%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Nova Iguacu
(Home) 26 Sept
Boavista
2 : 0 Nova Iguacu
19 Sept
Nova Iguacu
1 : 1 Boavista
02 Sept
Sampaio Correa FE
2 : 1 Nova Iguacu
26 Aug
Nova Iguacu
2 : 0 Sampaio Correa FE
12 Aug
Nova Iguacu
0 : 0 Olaria
Page 1 of 7
19 Sept
Nova Iguacu
1 : 1 Boavista
26 Aug
Nova Iguacu
2 : 0 Sampaio Correa FE
12 Aug
Nova Iguacu
0 : 0 Olaria
22 Jul
Nova Iguacu
1 : 1 America RJ
07 Jun
Nova Iguacu
1 : 0 Piracicaba
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Sampaio Correa FE
(Away) 23 Sept
Madureira
0 : 2 Sampaio Correa FE
16 Sept
Sampaio Correa FE
1 : 1 Madureira
02 Sept
Sampaio Correa FE
2 : 1 Nova Iguacu
26 Aug
Nova Iguacu
2 : 0 Sampaio Correa FE
12 Aug
Sampaio Correa FE
1 : 0 Sao Goncalo
Page 1 of 7
23 Sept
Madureira
0 : 2 Sampaio Correa FE
26 Aug
Nova Iguacu
2 : 0 Sampaio Correa FE
05 Aug
Sao Goncalo
0 : 0 Sampaio Correa FE
15 Jul
Resende
0 : 1 Sampaio Correa FE
27 Jun
Portuguesa
1 : 0 Sampaio Correa FE
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Americano 2
Macae 1
TBD -
Portuguesa RJ -
Cabofriense 1
Bonsucesso 3
TBD -
Madureira -
Perolas Negras 10
Santa Cruz RJ 1
TBD -
Marica -
CEAC/Araruama 2
Sao Cristovao 1
TBD -
Boavista -
Olaria 6
Duque de Caxias 0
TBD -
Bangu -
America RJ -
Goytacaz -
TBD -
Nova Iguacu -
Sao Goncalo 3
Serrano FC 2
TBD -
Volta Redonda -
Resende 11
Belford Roxo 2
TBD -
Sampaio Correa FE -
1/8-finals
Americano 1
Portuguesa RJ 2
Bonsucesso 3
Madureira 4
Perolas Negras 0
Marica 3
CEAC/Araruama 0
Boavista 5
Olaria 3
Bangu 1
America RJ 1
Nova Iguacu 2
Sao Goncalo 2
Volta Redonda 1
Resende 0
Sampaio Correa FE 3
Quarter-finals
Portuguesa RJ 1
Madureira 2
Marica 1
Boavista 3
Olaria 0
Nova Iguacu 1
Sao Goncalo 0
Sampaio Correa FE 1
Semi-finals
Madureira 0
Boavista 2
Nova Iguacu 3
Sampaio Correa FE 2
Final
Boavista 3
Nova Iguacu 1
Madureira 1
Sampaio Correa FE 3
