Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nova Mutum EC vs Mixto

Brazil Brazil

Matogrossense Estádio Municipal Valdir Doilho Wons, Nova Mutum
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Esquerdinha
62' Event
Yan Suhet
81' Event
Massilon

AI Match Summary

The Matogrossense game between Nova Mutum EC and Mixto finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nova Mutum EC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Nova Mutum EC
30%
Draws
18%
Mixto
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nova Mutum EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nova Mutum EC come out ahead of Mixto on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Nova Mutum EC's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Nova Mutum EC Clean Sheet 16%
Mixto Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nova Mutum EC Mixto
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 13 11
Draws 7 13
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.23 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.47 0.85
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Matogrossense
Nova Mutum EC vs Mixto
2:1
Jan 15, 2025 Matogrossense
Mixto vs Nova Mutum EC
5:0
Sep 14, 2024 Copa FMF (Mato Grosso)
Nova Mutum EC vs Mixto
2:1
Jan 20, 2024 Matogrossense
Nova Mutum EC vs Mixto
0:1
Feb 9, 2023 Matogrossense
Mixto vs Nova Mutum EC
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nova Mutum EC Compare

Top Goalscorer Yan Suhet
1 Goals
Assists Leader Massilon
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Mixto Compare

Top Goalscorer Esquerdinha
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nova Mutum EC 41 / 100
Mixto 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nova Mutum EC Mixto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nova Mutum EC found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Mixto let in goals in 61% of their last 33 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Nova Mutum EC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nova Mutum EC VS Mixto
2 Goals Scored 0.88
2 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Nova Mutum EC

(Home)
11 Feb
Operario VG
3 : 2
Nova Mutum EC
08 Feb
Nova Mutum EC
2 : 1
Mixto
05 Feb
Várzea Grande EC
1 : 3
Nova Mutum EC
31 Jan
Cuiaba
2 : 1
Nova Mutum EC
28 Jan
Nova Mutum EC
3 : 2
Chapada
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Mixto

(Away)
27 Jun
Gama
1 : 0
Mixto
20 Jun
Mixto
1 : 2
Gama
07 Jun
Mixto
1 : 1
Ceilandia
30 May
Uniao Rondonopolis
2 : 2
Mixto
23 May
Mixto
1 : 1
Operario VG
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Luverdense 9 5 2 2 7:3 17
2 Mixto 9 4 3 2 13:4 15
3 Operario VG 9 4 2 3 9:9 14
4 Sport Sinop 9 3 4 2 6:4 13
5 Cuiaba 9 3 3 3 8:8 12
6 Nova Mutum EC 9 3 3 3 13:15 12
7 Chapada 9 3 2 4 12:13 11
8 Uniao Rondonopolis 9 2 4 3 7:7 10
9 Primavera AC 9 1 7 1 6:9 10
10 Várzea Grande EC 9 1 2 6 5:14 5
Promotion - Matogrossense (Play Offs)
Promotion - Matogrossense (Play Offs)
Relegation - Matogrossense 2 2027 (Main)