Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nova Prata vs Apafut

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho 3 2025
Nova Prata Logo

Nova Prata

0 - 2
FT
Apafut Logo

Apafut

Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Oliveira de Almeida J.
82' Event
Parisotto J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Gaucho 3 2025 game between Nova Prata and Apafut finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Apafut.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Nova Prata
30%
Draws
37%
Apafut
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Apafut

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Nova Prata haven't matched Apafut's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Nova Prata Clean Sheet 10%
Apafut Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nova Prata Apafut
Matches Played 8 25
Wins 2 7
Draws 2 9
Losses 4 9
Goals Scored 1.25 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 16, 2025 Gaucho 3
Apafut vs Nova Prata
5:2
Sep 28, 2025 Gaucho 3
Nova Prata vs Apafut
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nova Prata Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Apafut Compare

Top Goalscorer Oliveira de Almeida J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Parisotto J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nova Prata 34 / 100
Apafut 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nova Prata Apafut

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Apafut Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Apafut let in goals in 64% of their last 25 matches.

Nova Prata went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Nova Prata scored in 50% of their last 8 games.

Scoring Trends

Nova Prata VS Apafut
1.75 Goals Scored 2.13
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Nova Prata

(Home)
16 Nov
Apafut
5 : 2
Nova Prata
09 Nov
Nova Prata
2 : 2
Clube 1992
02 Nov
EC Guarani
1 : 0
Nova Prata
26 Oct
Nova Prata
3 : 0
EC Novo Horizonte
22 Oct
EC Novo Horizonte
0 : 3
Nova Prata
Page 1 of 2

Apafut

(Away)
23 Aug
Gramadense
0 : 0
Apafut
19 Aug
Apafut
1 : 2
Veranopolis
15 Aug
GE Gloria
1 : 1
Apafut
12 Aug
GE Bage
0 : 3
Apafut
09 Aug
Apafut
1 : 0
SC Gaucho
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 EC Guarani 8 8 0 0 25:3 24
2 Apafut 8 4 2 2 18:10 16
3 Clube 1992 8 1 4 3 8:14 9
4 Nova Prata 8 2 2 4 10:12 8
5 EC Novo Horizonte 8 0 2 6 1:23 0
Promotion - Gaucho 3 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SC Sao Paulo 6 5 1 0 11:1 16
2 SC Rio Grande 6 3 0 3 6:6 9
3 Riograndense 6 2 2 2 11:3 8
4 Sao Gabriel 6 0 1 5 2:20 1
Promotion - Gaucho 3 2025 (Play Offs)