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Stadium Background

Novaci vs Belasica Strumica - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

North Macedonia North Macedonia

2. MFL
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 2. MFL game between Novaci and Belasica Strumica finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Belasica Strumica.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Novaci
35%
Draws
27%
Belasica Strumica
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Novaci

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Belasica Strumica carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.200000000000003%
Novaci Clean Sheet 68%
Belasica Strumica Clean Sheet 22%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Novaci Belasica Strumica
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 11 14
Draws 5 7
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.15 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.04 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 2. MFL
Novaci vs Belasica Strumica
0:1
May 10, 2026 2. MFL
Novaci vs Belasica Strumica
1:0
Nov 21, 2025 2. MFL
Belasica Strumica vs Novaci
0:1
Mar 24, 2025 2. MFL
Belasica Strumica vs Novaci
3:0
Sep 28, 2024 2. MFL
Novaci vs Belasica Strumica
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Novaci 41 / 100
Belasica Strumica 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Novaci Belasica Strumica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Novaci Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Novaci's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Solid form: Novaci remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Belasica Strumica's defensive record shows goals conceded in 52% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Novaci VS Belasica Strumica
0.63 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.5
25% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Novaci

(Home)
19 Sept
Kozuf Gevgelija
0 : 1
Novaci
13 Sept
Novaci
3 : 1
Detonit Plackovica
09 Sept
Novaci
1 : 0
Ohrid
05 Sept
Kamjani
1 : 0
Novaci
29 Aug
Osogovo
0 : 0
Novaci
Page 1 of 6

Belasica Strumica

(Away)
19 Sept
Gorno Lisice
0 : 0
Belasica Strumica
13 Sept
Belasica Strumica
2 : 2
Teteks
09 Sept
Osogovo
1 : 3
Belasica Strumica
05 Sept
Kozuf Gevgelija
2 : 2
Belasica Strumica
30 Aug
Belasica Strumica
1 : 1
Detonit Plackovica
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ohrid 6 5 0 1 14:4 15
2 Pelister 6 4 2 0 9:1 14
3 Brera Strumica 5 4 1 0 12:1 13
4 Rabotnicki 5 4 0 1 6:2 12
5 Belasica Strumica 6 2 4 0 7:5 10
6 Kamjani 6 3 1 2 6:5 10
7 Novaci 6 2 1 3 5:5 7
8 Makedonija GP 6 2 1 3 3:4 7
9 Detonit Plackovica 6 2 1 3 6:8 7
10 Kozuf Gevgelija 6 2 1 3 6:11 7
11 Teteks 6 1 3 2 6:8 6
12 Gorno Lisice 6 1 1 4 5:6 4
13 Osogovo 6 0 2 4 2:6 2
14 Shkupi 6 0 0 6 1:22 0
Promotion - 1. MFL 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - 1. MFL (Relegation)