Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Novaci vs Osogovo

North Macedonia North Macedonia

2. MFL 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this 2. MFL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Novaci
6%
Draws
90%
Osogovo
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Osogovo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Osogovo have won more games recently than Novaci.
  • Osogovo are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular 2. MFL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.6%
Novaci Clean Sheet 11%
Osogovo Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Novaci Osogovo
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 14 17
Draws 6 6
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.13 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 2. MFL
Novaci vs Osogovo
3:3
Dec 6, 2025 2. MFL
Osogovo vs Novaci
0:0
May 6, 2025 2. MFL
Osogovo vs Novaci
2:0
Nov 23, 2024 2. MFL
Novaci vs Osogovo
5:0
Mar 30, 2024 2. MFL
Osogovo vs Novaci
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Novaci 10 / 100
Osogovo 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Novaci Osogovo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OSO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Novaci found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Novaci stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Osogovo has conceded goals in 52% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Novaci VS Osogovo
1.13 Goals Scored 2.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Novaci

(Home)
18 Jul
Ohrid
1 : 0
Novaci
23 May
Novaci
3 : 3
Osogovo
16 May
Shkendija Haracine
5 : 1
Novaci
10 May
Novaci
1 : 0
Belasica Strumica
02 May
Sloga Vinica
0 : 2
Novaci
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Osogovo

(Away)
23 May
Novaci
3 : 3
Osogovo
16 May
Osogovo
0 : 3
Bregalnica Stip
10 May
Vardar Negotino
0 : 4
Osogovo
02 May
Osogovo
0 : 1
Kozuf Gevgelija
25 Apr
Pobeda
1 : 8
Osogovo
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bregalnica Stip30225372:1771
2FK Skopje30232572:2071
3Shkendija Haracine30216367:1969
4Ohrid30215478:1768
5Belasica Strumica30184857:2158
6Osogovo30166853:2754
7Novaci30156947:3151
8Detonit Plackovica30147952:2849
9Kozuf Gevgelija30129950:2645
10Teteks301331456:4442
11Kamenica Sasa30991247:5336
12Vardar Negotino30642037:9522
13Sloga Vinica30432331:8415
14Prespa30502530:7615
15Pobeda30322519:11711
16Golemo Konjari30212717:1107
Promotion - 1. MFL (Main)
Promotion - 1. MFL 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. MFL 2025/2026 (Relegation)