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Novaci vs Osogovo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

North Macedonia North Macedonia

2. MFL 2025/2026
Novaci Logo

Novaci

3 - 3
FT
Osogovo Logo

Osogovo

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this 2. MFL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Novaci
30%
Draws
12%
Osogovo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Novaci

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Novaci have won more games recently than Osogovo.
  • Novaci are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular 2. MFL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Novaci Clean Sheet 20%
Osogovo Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Novaci Osogovo
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 11 10
Draws 5 8
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.15 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.04 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 2. MFL
Osogovo vs Novaci
0:0
May 23, 2026 2. MFL
Novaci vs Osogovo
3:3
Dec 6, 2025 2. MFL
Osogovo vs Novaci
0:0
May 6, 2025 2. MFL
Osogovo vs Novaci
2:0
Nov 23, 2024 2. MFL
Novaci vs Osogovo
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Novaci 85 / 100
Osogovo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Novaci Osogovo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Novaci Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Novaci found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (27 games).

Osogovo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Novaci has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Novaci VS Osogovo
0.13 Goals Scored 0.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
13% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Novaci

(Home)
19 Sept
Kozuf Gevgelija
0 : 1
Novaci
13 Sept
Novaci
3 : 1
Detonit Plackovica
09 Sept
Novaci
1 : 0
Ohrid
05 Sept
Kamjani
1 : 0
Novaci
29 Aug
Osogovo
0 : 0
Novaci
Page 1 of 6

Osogovo

(Away)
19 Sept
Teteks
0 : 0
Osogovo
13 Sept
Osogovo
0 : 1
Kozuf Gevgelija
09 Sept
Osogovo
1 : 3
Belasica Strumica
05 Sept
Detonit Plackovica
2 : 1
Osogovo
29 Aug
Osogovo
0 : 0
Novaci
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bregalnica Stip 30 22 5 3 72:17 71
2 FK Skopje 30 23 2 5 72:20 71
3 Shkendija Haracine 30 21 6 3 67:19 69
4 Ohrid 30 21 5 4 78:17 68
5 Belasica Strumica 30 18 4 8 57:21 58
6 Osogovo 30 16 6 8 53:27 54
7 Novaci 30 15 6 9 47:31 51
8 Detonit Plackovica 30 14 7 9 52:28 49
9 Kozuf Gevgelija 30 12 9 9 50:26 45
10 Teteks 30 13 3 14 56:44 42
11 Kamenica Sasa 30 9 9 12 47:53 36
12 Vardar Negotino 30 6 4 20 37:95 22
13 Sloga Vinica 30 4 3 23 31:84 15
14 Prespa 30 5 0 25 30:76 15
15 Pobeda 30 3 2 25 19:117 11
16 Golemo Konjari 30 2 1 27 17:110 7
Promotion - 1. MFL (Main)
Promotion - 1. MFL 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. MFL 2025/2026 (Relegation)