Sport Picks
Novara vs Cittadella - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 Stadio Silvio Piola, Novara 
Match Events
32'
32'
Ledonne N.
34'
34'
Pavan N.
48'
48'
Sub
Lartey S. In: Scarpetta J.
Out: Lartey S.
AI Match Summary
Cittadella in this Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cittadella.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
24%
20%
56%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cittadella
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
56%
/ Medium Confidence
- Novara haven't matched Cittadella's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Cittadella's way, sitting at 70%.
- Regular Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Novara Clean Sheet 15%
Cittadella Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Novara | Cittadella |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 33 |
| Wins | 11 | 19 |
| Draws | 8 | 7 |
| Losses | 10 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.21 | 1.58 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 1.09 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.63 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 19, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Novara vs Cittadella
0:1
Dec 14, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Cittadella vs Novara
2:2
Sep 30, 2020 Coppa Italia
Cittadella vs Novara
3:1
Feb 11, 2018 Serie B
Cittadella vs Novara
1:3
Sep 16, 2017 Serie B
Novara vs Cittadella
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Novara Compare
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32
Cittadella Compare
Top Goalscorer Pavan N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Novara 15 / 100
Cittadella 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Novara Cittadella
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Cittadella Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Novara scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.
Cittadella's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 33 matches.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Solid form: Novara remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Novara VS Cittadella
0.88 Goals Scored 2.13
1 Goals Conceded 0.38
38% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Novara
(Home) 04 Oct
Dolomiti Bellunesi
1 : 2 Novara
26 Sept
Novara
0 : 2 Ospitaletto
20 Sept
Novara
2 : 2 Carpi
17 Sept
Lumezzane
0 : 0 Novara
13 Sept
Novara
0 : 1 Pergolettese
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Novara
0 : 2 Ospitaletto
20 Sept
Novara
2 : 2 Carpi
13 Sept
Novara
0 : 1 Pergolettese
03 Sept
Novara
0 : 1 Livorno
31 Aug
Novara
2 : 2 Folgore Caratese
Page 1 of 3
Cittadella
(Away) 03 Oct
Cittadella
1 : 2 AlbinoLeffe
26 Sept
Cittadella
3 : 0 Lecco
20 Sept
Ospitaletto
0 : 1 Cittadella
17 Sept
Cittadella
2 : 0 Juventus U23
13 Sept
Carpi
1 : 2 Cittadella
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
Ospitaletto
0 : 1 Cittadella
13 Sept
Carpi
1 : 2 Cittadella
31 Aug
Renate
0 : 1 Cittadella
29 Jul
Cremonese
1 : 1 Cittadella
25 Jul
Torino
0 : 1 Cittadella
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vicenza | 38 | 27 | 8 | 3 | 69:26 | 89 |
| 2 | Union Brescia | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 49:24 | 69 |
| 3 | Renate | 38 | 17 | 13 | 8 | 53:37 | 64 |
| 4 | Lecco | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 47:34 | 64 |
| 5 | Trento | 38 | 16 | 15 | 7 | 58:42 | 63 |
| 6 | Cittadella | 38 | 17 | 8 | 13 | 45:43 | 59 |
| 7 | Lumezzane | 38 | 14 | 14 | 10 | 46:39 | 56 |
| 8 | Alcione Milano | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 35:28 | 55 |
| 9 | Arzignano | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 50:48 | 53 |
| 10 | Giana Erminio | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 38:39 | 52 |
| 11 | AlbinoLeffe | 38 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 51:49 | 50 |
| 12 | Inter U23 | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 40:41 | 48 |
| 13 | Novara | 38 | 9 | 20 | 9 | 40:39 | 47 |
| 14 | Pro Vercelli | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 39:55 | 46 |
| 15 | Ospitaletto | 38 | 10 | 15 | 13 | 41:43 | 45 |
| 16 | Pergolettese | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 37:50 | 41 |
| 17 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 38:61 | 40 |
| 18 | Virtus Verona | 38 | 3 | 16 | 19 | 34:62 | 25 |
| 19 | Pro Patria | 38 | 4 | 11 | 23 | 34:70 | 23 |
| 20 | Triestina | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 45:59 | 12 |
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
