Sport Picks
Novara vs Cittadella
Italy
Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 Stadio Silvio Piola, Novara 
Match Events
32'
32'
Ledonne N.
34'
34'
Pavan N.
48'
48'
Sub
Lartey S. In: Scarpetta J.
Out: Lartey S.
AI Match Summary
Cittadella in this Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cittadella.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
15%
39%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Novara
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Novara haven't matched Cittadella's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Novara's way, sitting at 50%.
- Regular Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Novara Clean Sheet 68%
Cittadella Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Novara | Cittadella |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 13 |
| Draws | 11 | 8 |
| Losses | 8 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.21 | 1.43 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 1.37 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 19, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Novara vs Cittadella
0:1
Dec 14, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Cittadella vs Novara
2:2
Sep 30, 2020 Coppa Italia
Cittadella vs Novara
3:1
Feb 11, 2018 Serie B
Cittadella vs Novara
1:3
Sep 16, 2017 Serie B
Novara vs Cittadella
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Novara Compare
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Cittadella Compare
Top Goalscorer Pavan N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Novara 59 / 100
Cittadella 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Novara Cittadella
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Novara Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Cittadella has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.
Novara's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Solid form: Novara remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Novara VS Cittadella
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Novara
(Home) 16 Aug
Alcione Milano
0 : 1 Novara
05 Aug
Entella
2 : 1 Novara
01 Aug
Sampdoria
1 : 2 Novara
26 Jul
Novara
2 : 1 Inter U23
25 Apr
Ospitaletto
0 : 2 Novara
Page 1 of 6
26 Jul
Novara
2 : 1 Inter U23
19 Apr
Novara
0 : 1 Cittadella
03 Apr
Novara
1 : 3 Lumezzane
22 Mar
Novara
3 : 0 Alcione Milano
07 Mar
Novara
1 : 1 Pergolettese
Page 1 of 3
Cittadella
(Away) 15 Aug
Cittadella
3 : 2 Atalanta U23
08 Aug
Cittadella
1 : 0 Luparense FC
01 Aug
Cittadella
0 : 2 Padova
29 Jul
Cremonese
1 : 1 Cittadella
25 Jul
Torino
0 : 1 Cittadella
Page 1 of 6
29 Jul
Cremonese
1 : 1 Cittadella
25 Jul
Torino
0 : 1 Cittadella
13 May
Ravenna
1 : 1 Cittadella
19 Apr
Novara
0 : 1 Cittadella
03 Apr
Union Brescia
2 : 1 Cittadella
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vicenza | 38 | 27 | 8 | 3 | 69:26 | 89 |
| 2 | Union Brescia | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 49:24 | 69 |
| 3 | Renate | 38 | 17 | 13 | 8 | 53:37 | 64 |
| 4 | Lecco | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 47:34 | 64 |
| 5 | Trento | 38 | 16 | 15 | 7 | 58:42 | 63 |
| 6 | Cittadella | 38 | 17 | 8 | 13 | 45:43 | 59 |
| 7 | Lumezzane | 38 | 14 | 14 | 10 | 46:39 | 56 |
| 8 | Alcione Milano | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 35:28 | 55 |
| 9 | Arzignano | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 50:48 | 53 |
| 10 | Giana Erminio | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 38:39 | 52 |
| 11 | AlbinoLeffe | 38 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 51:49 | 50 |
| 12 | Inter U23 | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 40:41 | 48 |
| 13 | Novara | 38 | 9 | 20 | 9 | 40:39 | 47 |
| 14 | Pro Vercelli | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 39:55 | 46 |
| 15 | Ospitaletto | 38 | 10 | 15 | 13 | 41:43 | 45 |
| 16 | Pergolettese | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 37:50 | 41 |
| 17 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 38:61 | 40 |
| 18 | Virtus Verona | 38 | 3 | 16 | 19 | 34:62 | 25 |
| 19 | Pro Patria | 38 | 4 | 11 | 23 | 34:70 | 23 |
| 20 | Triestina | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 45:59 | 12 |
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
