Sport Picks
Novara vs Folgore Caratese - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Serie C - Group A Stadio Silvio Piola, Novara 
Match Events
6'
6'
Mezsargs K.
8'
8'
Sub
Moretti L. In: Cannavaro A.
Out: Moretti L.
43'
43'
Bassino A.
AI Match Summary
The Serie C - Group A game between Novara and Folgore Caratese finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Novara come out ahead of Folgore Caratese on wins alone.
- Novara are the model's pick here, at 36%.
- Regular Serie C - Group A form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Novara Clean Sheet 20%
Folgore Caratese Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Novara | Folgore Caratese |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 10 |
| Draws | 8 | 11 |
| Losses | 10 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.21 | 1.55 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 31, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Novara vs Folgore Caratese
2:2
Aug 7, 2024 Club Friendly
Folgore Caratese vs Novara
2:2
Aug 9, 2017 Club Friendly
Folgore Caratese vs Novara
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Novara Compare
Top Goalscorer Valdesi A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Miceli M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Folgore Caratese Compare
Top Goalscorer Mezsargs K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Santarcangelo A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Novara 36 / 100
Folgore Caratese 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Novara Folgore Caratese
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Novara scored in 69% of their last 29 games.
Defensive concern: Folgore Caratese conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Novara stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Novara VS Folgore Caratese
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
38% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Novara
(Home) 04 Oct
Dolomiti Bellunesi
1 : 2 Novara
26 Sept
Novara
0 : 2 Ospitaletto
20 Sept
Novara
2 : 2 Carpi
17 Sept
Lumezzane
0 : 0 Novara
13 Sept
Novara
0 : 1 Pergolettese
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Novara
0 : 2 Ospitaletto
20 Sept
Novara
2 : 2 Carpi
13 Sept
Novara
0 : 1 Pergolettese
03 Sept
Novara
0 : 1 Livorno
31 Aug
Novara
2 : 2 Folgore Caratese
Page 1 of 3
Folgore Caratese
(Away) 03 Oct
Folgore Caratese
1 : 2 Desenzano Calvina
26 Sept
Lumezzane
1 : 2 Folgore Caratese
20 Sept
Folgore Caratese
1 : 1 Giana Erminio
17 Sept
Pergolettese
0 : 0 Folgore Caratese
13 Sept
Folgore Caratese
2 : 3 Alcione Milano
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Lumezzane
1 : 2 Folgore Caratese
17 Sept
Pergolettese
0 : 0 Folgore Caratese
07 Sept
Pro Vercelli
1 : 0 Folgore Caratese
31 Aug
Novara
2 : 2 Folgore Caratese
16 Aug
Giana Erminio
2 : 1 Folgore Caratese
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cittadella | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 14:4 | 21 |
| 2 | Union Brescia | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 14:6 | 16 |
| 3 | Ospitaletto | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14:6 | 15 |
| 4 | Arzignano | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12:9 | 14 |
| 5 | Trento | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 11:5 | 14 |
| 6 | Treviso | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 8:6 | 13 |
| 7 | AlbinoLeffe | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12:10 | 12 |
| 8 | Alcione Milano | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 12:13 | 11 |
| 9 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 7:7 | 10 |
| 10 | Desenzano Calvina | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6:7 | 10 |
| 11 | Novara | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:10 | 9 |
| 12 | Pro Vercelli | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:11 | 9 |
| 13 | Lecco | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:8 | 9 |
| 14 | Lumezzane | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:9 | 8 |
| 15 | Pergolettese | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3:5 | 8 |
| 16 | Carpi | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10:17 | 6 |
| 17 | Folgore Caratese | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9:12 | 6 |
| 18 | Juventus U23 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7:13 | 6 |
| 19 | Giana Erminio | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 6:10 | 4 |
| 20 | Renate | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6:12 | 3 |
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)
