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NovaRomentin vs Vado

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Raffini S.
49' Event
Ciccone N.
50' Event
Vita D.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 game between NovaRomentin and Vado finished 0-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vado.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
NovaRomentin
15%
Draws
85%
Vado
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vado

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • NovaRomentin haven't matched Vado's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Vado a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
  • History favors Vado here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 52.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
NovaRomentin Clean Sheet 10%
Vado Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric NovaRomentin Vado
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 5 19
Draws 3 6
Losses 22 7
Goals Scored 0.8 2.03
Goals Conceded 2.6 1.09
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 3.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Serie D - Group A
NovaRomentin vs Vado
0:5
Dec 14, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Vado vs NovaRomentin
6:0
May 18, 2025 Serie D - Group A
NovaRomentin vs Vado
2:0
Jan 11, 2025 Serie D - Group A
NovaRomentin vs Vado
1:3
Sep 14, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Vado vs NovaRomentin
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

NovaRomentin Compare

Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Vado Compare

Top Goalscorer Alfiero V.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Raffini S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.46
Avg xA / game 2.12

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

NovaRomentin 10 / 100
Vado 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
NovaRomentin Vado

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vado Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: NovaRomentin scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Vado has conceded goals in 56% of their last 32 outings.

Vado's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

NovaRomentin VS Vado
0.83 Goals Scored 2.63
5 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 75%
67% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

NovaRomentin

(Home)
03 May
Ligorna
9 : 1
NovaRomentin
26 Apr
NovaRomentin
0 : 5
Vado
19 Apr
Club Milano
6 : 1
NovaRomentin
12 Apr
NovaRomentin
1 : 2
Imperia Calcio
02 Apr
Sestri Levante
5 : 2
NovaRomentin
Page 1 of 6

Vado

(Away)
14 Aug
Vado
2 : 1
Inter U23
10 Aug
Sestri Levante
0 : 3
Vado
05 Aug
Torino
3 : 1
Vado
06 Jun
Vado
0 : 6
Scafatese
30 May
Vado
2 : 0
Barletta
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vado 34 24 6 4 69:24 78
2 Ligorna 34 21 9 4 64:26 72
3 AS Biellese 34 16 9 9 48:29 57
4 Varese FC 34 16 8 10 43:43 56
5 Chisola 34 16 7 11 44:36 55
6 Sestri Levante 34 15 9 10 54:34 54
7 Sanremese 34 13 10 11 37:30 49
8 Valenzana 34 12 9 13 33:48 45
9 Celle Varazze 34 12 8 14 41:47 44
10 Saluzzo 34 11 10 13 48:44 43
11 Club Milano 34 12 6 16 43:49 42
12 Imperia Calcio 34 10 11 13 36:44 41
13 Cairese 34 9 13 12 29:34 40
14 Derthona FbC 34 11 7 16 36:46 40
15 Gozzano 34 9 12 13 37:42 39
16 Asti Calcio 34 8 11 15 32:42 35
17 Lavagnese 34 5 12 17 32:52 27
18 NovaRomentin 34 6 3 25 26:82 16
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Out)