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NovaRomentin vs Valenzana

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

57' Event
Palazzolo N.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 game between NovaRomentin and Valenzana finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Valenzana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
NovaRomentin
15%
Draws
85%
Valenzana
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Valenzana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Valenzana carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Valenzana a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
NovaRomentin Clean Sheet 10%
Valenzana Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric NovaRomentin Valenzana
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 5 11
Draws 3 7
Losses 23 12
Goals Scored 0.77 0.97
Goals Conceded 2.55 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 4, 2026 Serie D - Group A
NovaRomentin vs Valenzana
0:1
Sep 7, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Valenzana vs NovaRomentin
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

NovaRomentin Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Valenzana Compare

Top Goalscorer Palazzolo N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

NovaRomentin 10 / 100
Valenzana 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
NovaRomentin Valenzana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VAL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Valenzana conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: NovaRomentin scored in 48% of their last 31 outings.

Valenzana's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

NovaRomentin VS Valenzana
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
2.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

NovaRomentin

(Home)
03 May
Ligorna
9 : 1
NovaRomentin
26 Apr
NovaRomentin
0 : 5
Vado
19 Apr
Club Milano
6 : 1
NovaRomentin
12 Apr
NovaRomentin
1 : 2
Imperia Calcio
02 Apr
Sestri Levante
5 : 2
NovaRomentin
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Valenzana

(Away)
03 May
Valenzana
2 : 3
Chisola
26 Apr
Cairese
4 : 0
Valenzana
19 Apr
Valenzana
2 : 0
Lavagnese
12 Apr
Valenzana
1 : 1
Gozzano
02 Apr
Varese FC
1 : 2
Valenzana
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vado 34 24 6 4 69:24 78
2 Ligorna 34 21 9 4 64:26 72
3 AS Biellese 34 16 9 9 48:29 57
4 Varese FC 34 16 8 10 43:43 56
5 Chisola 34 16 7 11 44:36 55
6 Sestri Levante 34 15 9 10 54:34 54
7 Sanremese 34 13 10 11 37:30 49
8 Valenzana 34 12 9 13 33:48 45
9 Celle Varazze 34 12 8 14 41:47 44
10 Saluzzo 34 11 10 13 48:44 43
11 Club Milano 34 12 6 16 43:49 42
12 Imperia Calcio 34 10 11 13 36:44 41
13 Cairese 34 9 13 12 29:34 40
14 Derthona FbC 34 11 7 16 36:46 40
15 Gozzano 34 9 12 13 37:42 39
16 Asti Calcio 34 8 11 15 32:42 35
17 Lavagnese 34 5 12 17 32:52 27
18 NovaRomentin 34 6 3 25 26:82 16
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Out)