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Novelda CF vs Benicarlo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera Division - Group 6 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 6 2020/2021 game between Novelda CF and Benicarlo finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Novelda CF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Novelda CF
30%
Draws
39%
Benicarlo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Benicarlo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Benicarlo haven't matched Novelda CF's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 6 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Novelda CF Clean Sheet 20%
Benicarlo Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Novelda CF Benicarlo
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 6 5
Draws 6 14
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 1.04 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.54 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Benicarlo vs Novelda CF
1:0
Apr 11, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Novelda CF vs Benicarlo
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Novelda CF 36 / 100
Benicarlo 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Novelda CF Benicarlo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Benicarlo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Novelda CF found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).

Benicarlo has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Novelda CF went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Novelda CF VS Benicarlo
1.63 Goals Scored 0.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Novelda CF

(Home)
06 Jun
Novelda CF
1 : 1
Acero
30 May
Paterna
2 : 0
Novelda CF
23 May
Novelda CF
2 : 1
Vilamarxant
16 May
Benicarlo
1 : 0
Novelda CF
09 May
Novelda CF
1 : 3
Torrent
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Benicarlo

(Away)
06 Jun
Crevillente
2 : 1
Benicarlo
30 May
Benicarlo
0 : 1
Hercules B
23 May
Villajoyosa
1 : 1
Benicarlo
16 May
Benicarlo
1 : 0
Novelda CF
02 May
Benicarlo
0 : 0
Crevillente
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