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Novelda CF vs Burriana - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera Division - Group 6 2012/2013
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 6 2012/2013 game between Novelda CF and Burriana finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Novelda CF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Novelda CF
30%
Draws
39%
Burriana
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Burriana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Novelda CF's 1.04 goals per match outpaces what Burriana have produced (0.73).
  • Win probability leans Novelda CF's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Novelda CF Clean Sheet 20%
Burriana Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Novelda CF Burriana
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 6 6
Draws 6 8
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 1.04 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Novelda CF vs Burriana
3:1
Dec 22, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Burriana vs Novelda CF
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Novelda CF 58 / 100
Burriana 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Novelda CF Burriana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Novelda CF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Novelda CF found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).

Burriana let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Novelda CF has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Burriana
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Novelda CF

(Home)
06 Jun
Novelda CF
1 : 1
Acero
30 May
Paterna
2 : 0
Novelda CF
23 May
Novelda CF
2 : 1
Vilamarxant
16 May
Benicarlo
1 : 0
Novelda CF
09 May
Novelda CF
1 : 3
Torrent
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Burriana

(Away)
28 Aug
Vall de Uxo
2 : 2
Burriana
11 May
Patacona
1 : 2
Burriana
05 May
Burriana
0 : 2
Espanol de San Vicente
01 May
Gandia
5 : 0
Burriana
27 Apr
Burriana
2 : 2
Soneja
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ilicitano 40 20 11 9 48:28 71
2 Novelda CF 40 21 8 11 50:37 71
3 Alzira 40 21 6 13 50:39 69
4 Castellon 40 18 14 8 58:29 68
5 La Nucia 40 16 14 10 47:36 62
6 Muro 40 17 8 15 53:47 59
7 Villarreal C 40 16 11 13 53:50 59
8 Borriol 40 14 15 11 52:39 57
9 Utiel 40 15 11 14 44:40 56
10 Eldense 40 12 17 11 45:39 53
11 Atletico Saguntino 40 15 8 17 36:46 53
12 Torrevieja 40 13 13 14 45:42 52
13 Espanol de San Vicente 40 13 11 16 44:48 50
14 CD Llosa 40 12 14 14 44:46 50
15 Gandia 40 13 11 16 36:39 50
16 Ribarroja 40 12 12 16 35:46 48
17 Acero 40 12 12 16 49:59 48
18 Burriana 40 12 11 17 40:57 47
19 Crevillente 40 10 15 15 41:52 45
20 Denia 40 10 12 18 43:56 42
21 Catarroja CF 40 6 10 24 29:67 28
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)