Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Novelda CF vs CD Llosa

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 6 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Novelda CF in this Tercera Division - Group 6 2012/2013 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Novelda CF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Novelda CF
30%
Draws
23%
CD Llosa
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Novelda CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Novelda CF have won more games recently than CD Llosa.
  • Win probability leans Novelda CF's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 6 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Novelda CF here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Novelda CF Clean Sheet 20%
CD Llosa Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Novelda CF CD Llosa
Matches Played 41 36
Wins 18 5
Draws 7 12
Losses 16 19
Goals Scored 1.24 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.22 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 20, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
CD Llosa vs Novelda CF
0:2
Dec 1, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Novelda CF vs CD Llosa
1:0
May 1, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Novelda CF vs CD Llosa
2:0
Dec 9, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
CD Llosa vs Novelda CF
0:2
May 13, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Novelda CF vs CD Llosa
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Novelda CF 49 / 100
CD Llosa 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Novelda CF CD Llosa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Novelda CF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Llosa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 36 matches.

Novelda CF found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (41 games).

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

CD Llosa's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Novelda CF VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Novelda CF

(Home)
06 Jun
Novelda CF
1 : 1
Acero
30 May
Paterna
2 : 0
Novelda CF
23 May
Novelda CF
2 : 1
Vilamarxant
16 May
Benicarlo
1 : 0
Novelda CF
09 May
Novelda CF
1 : 3
Torrent
Page 1 of 9

CD Llosa

(Away)
11 May
Atletico Saguntino
1 : 1
CD Llosa
04 May
CD Llosa
2 : 2
Borriol
27 Apr
Eldense
5 : 0
CD Llosa
20 Apr
CD Llosa
0 : 2
Novelda CF
13 Apr
Espanol de San Vicente
1 : 0
CD Llosa
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ilicitano 40 20 11 9 48:28 71
2 Novelda CF 40 21 8 11 50:37 71
3 Alzira 40 21 6 13 50:39 69
4 Castellon 40 18 14 8 58:29 68
5 La Nucia 40 16 14 10 47:36 62
6 Muro 40 17 8 15 53:47 59
7 Villarreal C 40 16 11 13 53:50 59
8 Borriol 40 14 15 11 52:39 57
9 Utiel 40 15 11 14 44:40 56
10 Eldense 40 12 17 11 45:39 53
11 Atletico Saguntino 40 15 8 17 36:46 53
12 Torrevieja 40 13 13 14 45:42 52
13 Espanol de San Vicente 40 13 11 16 44:48 50
14 CD Llosa 40 12 14 14 44:46 50
15 Gandia 40 13 11 16 36:39 50
16 Ribarroja 40 12 12 16 35:46 48
17 Acero 40 12 12 16 49:59 48
18 Burriana 40 12 11 17 40:57 47
19 Crevillente 40 10 15 15 41:52 45
20 Denia 40 10 12 18 43:56 42
21 Catarroja CF 40 6 10 24 29:67 28
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)