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Novelda CF vs CD Segorbe

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Tercera Division - Group 6 2016/2017
Novelda CF Logo

Novelda CF

2 - 0
FT
CD Segorbe Logo

CD Segorbe

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Novelda CF in this Tercera Division - Group 6 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Novelda CF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Novelda CF
15%
Draws
0%
CD Segorbe
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Novelda CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • CD Segorbe haven't matched Novelda CF's recent run of results.
  • Novelda CF are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 6 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Novelda CF Clean Sheet 20%
CD Segorbe Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Novelda CF CD Segorbe
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 14 1
Draws 7 6
Losses 17 23
Goals Scored 1.11 0.6
Goals Conceded 1.24 2.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 21, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Novelda CF vs CD Segorbe
2:0
Aug 21, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
CD Segorbe vs Novelda CF
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Novelda CF 85 / 100
CD Segorbe 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Novelda CF CD Segorbe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Novelda CF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Segorbe has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

CD Segorbe lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Novelda CF scored in 71% of their last 38 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Novelda CF VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Novelda CF

(Home)
06 Jun
Novelda CF
1 : 1
Acero
30 May
Paterna
2 : 0
Novelda CF
23 May
Novelda CF
2 : 1
Vilamarxant
16 May
Benicarlo
1 : 0
Novelda CF
09 May
Novelda CF
1 : 3
Torrent
Page 1 of 8

CD Segorbe

(Away)
13 May
CD Segorbe
0 : 4
CD Almazora
30 Apr
Ilicitano
4 : 1
CD Segorbe
23 Apr
CD Segorbe
0 : 3
Rayo Ibense
13 Apr
Torre Levante
2 : 0
CD Segorbe
08 Apr
CD Segorbe
0 : 3
Olimpic Xativa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olimpic Xativa 40 25 12 3 68:19 87
2 Alzira 40 23 11 6 61:25 80
3 Ontinyent 40 24 4 12 56:29 76
4 Castellon 40 22 10 8 65:31 76
5 Orihuela 40 19 14 7 62:31 71
6 Novelda CF 40 20 10 10 46:27 70
7 Villarreal C 40 19 12 9 67:47 69
8 Ilicitano 40 20 8 12 58:37 68
9 Torre Levante 40 18 7 15 58:50 61
10 Crevillente 40 15 13 12 39:37 58
11 Silla CF 40 14 9 17 51:57 51
12 Rayo Ibense 40 13 10 17 49:56 49
13 CD Almazora 40 11 15 14 43:48 48
14 Catarroja CF 40 11 13 16 33:44 46
15 Borriol 40 12 9 19 41:55 45
16 Paterna 40 9 16 15 35:60 43
17 CD Bunol 40 11 9 20 44:62 42
18 Muro 40 10 9 21 39:50 39
19 Torrevieja 40 10 5 25 38:71 35
20 Almoradi 40 6 9 25 32:77 27
21 CD Segorbe 40 2 7 31 22:94 13
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2016/2017 (Main)