Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Tercera Division - Group 6 2020/2021 game between Novelda CF and Ilicitano finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
20%
51%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ilicitano
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Ilicitano carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Ilicitano a 51% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Novelda CF Clean Sheet 16%
Ilicitano Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Novelda CF | Ilicitano |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 31 |
| Wins | 6 | 12 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 16 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.04 | 1.45 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.54 | 1.42 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.42 | 1.49 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 7, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Novelda CF vs Ilicitano
1:1
Dec 6, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Ilicitano vs Novelda CF
1:0
Feb 9, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Novelda CF vs Ilicitano
2:0
Sep 22, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Ilicitano vs Novelda CF
4:0
Mar 3, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Novelda CF vs Ilicitano
2:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Novelda CF 28 / 100
Ilicitano 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Novelda CF Ilicitano
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ilicitano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Ilicitano conceded in 81% of 31 recent games.
Attacking prowess: Novelda CF scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
Novelda CF went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Ilicitano
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Novelda CF
(Home) 06 Jun
Novelda CF
1 : 1 Acero
30 May
Paterna
2 : 0 Novelda CF
23 May
Novelda CF
2 : 1 Vilamarxant
16 May
Benicarlo
1 : 0 Novelda CF
09 May
Novelda CF
1 : 3 Torrent
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06 Jun
Novelda CF
1 : 1 Acero
23 May
Novelda CF
2 : 1 Vilamarxant
09 May
Novelda CF
1 : 3 Torrent
25 Apr
Novelda CF
2 : 1 Paterna
11 Apr
Novelda CF
2 : 0 Benicarlo
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Ilicitano
(Away) 27 Sept
Yeclano
1 : 0 Ilicitano
20 Sept
Ilicitano
1 : 0 Pena Deportiva
13 Sept
Ciudad Cieza
1 : 0 Ilicitano
06 Sept
Lorca Deportiva
1 : 1 Ilicitano
22 Aug
Albacete B
0 : 1 Ilicitano
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27 Sept
Yeclano
1 : 0 Ilicitano
13 Sept
Ciudad Cieza
1 : 0 Ilicitano
06 Sept
Lorca Deportiva
1 : 1 Ilicitano
22 Aug
Albacete B
0 : 1 Ilicitano
05 Aug
UD Ibiza
3 : 1 Ilicitano
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alzira | 20 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 29:12 | 38 |
| 2 | Roda | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 28:16 | 35 |
| 3 | Atletico Saguntino | 20 | 7 | 10 | 3 | 30:27 | 31 |
| 4 | Villarreal C | 20 | 6 | 12 | 2 | 32:18 | 30 |
| 5 | Silla CF | 20 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 20:21 | 25 |
| 6 | Recambios Colon | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 16:19 | 23 |
| 7 | Benicarlo | 20 | 4 | 10 | 6 | 22:21 | 22 |
| 8 | Torrent | 20 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 17:25 | 21 |
| 9 | Acero | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 18:25 | 20 |
| 10 | Paterna | 20 | 3 | 11 | 6 | 14:25 | 20 |
| 11 | Vilamarxant | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 13:30 | 15 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 6 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 6 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 6 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eldense | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 30:11 | 41 |
| 2 | Ilicitano | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 33:17 | 38 |
| 3 | CF Intercity | 18 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 30:8 | 37 |
| 4 | Olimpic Xativa | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 22:24 | 25 |
| 5 | UD Beniganim | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 14:30 | 20 |
| 6 | Espanol de San Vicente | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 17:23 | 19 |
| 7 | Crevillente | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 17:24 | 19 |
| 8 | Hercules B | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 13:17 | 18 |
| 9 | Villajoyosa | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 17:27 | 17 |
| 10 | Novelda CF | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 15:27 | 12 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 6 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 6 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 6 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)
