Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Novese vs Lavagnese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lavagnese in this Serie D - Group A 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 0-7 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lavagnese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Novese
15%
Draws
85%
Lavagnese
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lavagnese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Novese haven't matched Lavagnese's recent run of results.
  • Lavagnese are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A 2015/2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Novese Clean Sheet 20%
Lavagnese Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Novese Lavagnese
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 2 8
Draws 2 12
Losses 26 17
Goals Scored 0.43 1.11
Goals Conceded 2.8 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2016 Serie D - Group A
Novese vs Lavagnese
0:7
Nov 29, 2015 Serie D - Group A
Lavagnese vs Novese
1:0
Jan 25, 2015 Serie D - Group A
Lavagnese vs Novese
1:1
Sep 21, 2014 Serie D - Group A
Novese vs Lavagnese
4:1
Apr 17, 2014 Serie D - Group A
Novese vs Lavagnese
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Novese 10 / 100
Lavagnese 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Novese Lavagnese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lavagnese Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Lavagnese conceded in 76% of 37 recent games.

Lavagnese's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Novese scored in 33% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Lavagnese
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Novese

(Home)
08 May
Bra
6 : 0
Novese
01 May
Novese
0 : 5
Sporting Bellinzago
24 Apr
Argentina
7 : 0
Novese
17 Apr
Novese
0 : 7
Lavagnese
10 Apr
RapalloBogliasco
6 : 1
Novese
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Lavagnese

(Away)
03 May
Lavagnese
2 : 3
Varese FC
26 Apr
Chisola
4 : 2
Lavagnese
19 Apr
Valenzana
2 : 0
Lavagnese
12 Apr
Lavagnese
1 : 2
Vado
02 Apr
Gozzano
0 : 0
Lavagnese
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting Bellinzago 38 27 5 6 74:31 86
2 Caronnese 38 24 10 4 74:23 82
3 Lavagnese 38 21 11 6 66:30 74
4 AC Chieri 38 22 6 10 74:41 72
5 Argentina 38 18 12 8 48:25 66
6 Gozzano 38 18 9 11 66:38 63
7 Sestri Levante 38 16 13 9 40:25 61
8 Pinerolo 38 19 4 15 50:46 61
9 RapalloBogliasco 38 16 9 13 52:40 57
10 OltrepoVoghera 38 13 14 11 53:44 53
11 Derthona FbC 38 13 13 12 52:48 52
12 Bra 38 15 6 17 53:55 51
13 Borgosesia Calcio 38 12 11 15 40:46 47
14 Pro Settimo 38 11 10 17 36:45 43
15 Ligorna 38 10 10 18 45:73 40
16 Vado 38 10 10 18 43:61 40
17 Fezzanese 38 9 7 22 38:75 34
18 Acqui US 38 7 7 24 29:70 28
19 Castellazzo 38 5 7 26 29:73 22
20 Novese 38 5 4 29 26:99 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2015/2016 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2015/2016 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2015/2016 (Play Out)