Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Novese vs Vado

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vado in this Serie D - Group A 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vado.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Novese
15%
Draws
85%
Vado
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vado

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Vado have won more games recently than Novese.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Vado taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Vado have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Novese Clean Sheet 12%
Vado Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Novese Vado
Matches Played 30 43
Wins 2 23
Draws 2 8
Losses 26 12
Goals Scored 0.43 1.84
Goals Conceded 2.8 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2016 Serie D - Group A
Novese vs Vado
1:3
Sep 27, 2015 Serie D - Group A
Vado vs Novese
5:3
Jan 31, 2015 Serie D - Group A
Novese vs Vado
1:2
Sep 17, 2014 Serie D - Group A
Vado vs Novese
1:0
Apr 27, 2014 Serie D - Group A
Vado vs Novese
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Novese 10 / 100
Vado 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Novese Vado

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vado Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Vado conceded in 63% of 43 recent games.

Away concern: Vado has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Novese's goal record stands at 33% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Vado
0 Goals Scored 2.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Novese

(Home)
08 May
Bra
6 : 0
Novese
01 May
Novese
0 : 5
Sporting Bellinzago
24 Apr
Argentina
7 : 0
Novese
17 Apr
Novese
0 : 7
Lavagnese
10 Apr
RapalloBogliasco
6 : 1
Novese
Page 1 of 6

Vado

(Away)
26 Sept
Sassari Torres
0 : 0
Vado
20 Sept
Vado
0 : 1
Pescara
16 Sept
Livorno
3 : 2
Vado
12 Sept
Vado
0 : 1
Campobasso
06 Sept
Reggiana
3 : 1
Vado
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting Bellinzago 38 27 5 6 74:31 86
2 Caronnese 38 24 10 4 74:23 82
3 Lavagnese 38 21 11 6 66:30 74
4 AC Chieri 38 22 6 10 74:41 72
5 Argentina 38 18 12 8 48:25 66
6 Gozzano 38 18 9 11 66:38 63
7 Sestri Levante 38 16 13 9 40:25 61
8 Pinerolo 38 19 4 15 50:46 61
9 RapalloBogliasco 38 16 9 13 52:40 57
10 OltrepoVoghera 38 13 14 11 53:44 53
11 Derthona FbC 38 13 13 12 52:48 52
12 Bra 38 15 6 17 53:55 51
13 Borgosesia Calcio 38 12 11 15 40:46 47
14 Pro Settimo 38 11 10 17 36:45 43
15 Ligorna 38 10 10 18 45:73 40
16 Vado 38 10 10 18 43:61 40
17 Fezzanese 38 9 7 22 38:75 34
18 Acqui US 38 7 7 24 29:70 28
19 Castellazzo 38 5 7 26 29:73 22
20 Novese 38 5 4 29 26:99 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2015/2016 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2015/2016 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2015/2016 (Play Out)