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Novi Pazar vs FK Sarajevo

World World

Club Friendly 2025 Gradski Stadion
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Sieh E.
34' Event
Opara E.
39' Event
Jatta M.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Novi Pazar and FK Sarajevo finished 4-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Novi Pazar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Novi Pazar
28%
Draws
50%
FK Sarajevo
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: FK Sarajevo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • FK Sarajevo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives FK Sarajevo a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Novi Pazar Clean Sheet 12%
FK Sarajevo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Novi Pazar FK Sarajevo
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 8 14
Draws 6 6
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2025 Club Friendly
Novi Pazar vs FK Sarajevo
4:3
Oct 10, 2015 Club Friendly
FK Sarajevo vs Novi Pazar
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Novi Pazar Compare

Top Goalscorer Sieh E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Opara E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

FK Sarajevo Compare

Top Goalscorer Jatta M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Renan Oliveira
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Novi Pazar 22 / 100
FK Sarajevo 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Novi Pazar FK Sarajevo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Novi Pazar's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Defensive concern: FK Sarajevo conceded in 59% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Novi Pazar remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Novi Pazar VS FK Sarajevo
1 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%