Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Novigrad vs Jadran Porec

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL West
Novigrad Logo

Novigrad

1 - 5
FT
Jadran Porec Logo

Jadran Porec

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Jadran Porec in this 3. HNL West matchup, with the score ending 1-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jadran Porec.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Novigrad
20%
Draws
0%
Jadran Porec
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Novigrad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Novigrad have won more games recently than Jadran Porec.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Novigrad taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Jadran Porec have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Novigrad Clean Sheet 68%
Jadran Porec Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Novigrad Jadran Porec
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 11 5
Draws 8 2
Losses 11 26
Goals Scored 1.5 0.94
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2022 3. HNL West
Jadran Porec vs Novigrad
0:0
Feb 26, 2022 3. HNL West
Novigrad vs Jadran Porec
1:5
May 15, 2021 3. HNL West
Novigrad vs Jadran Porec
1:3
Oct 31, 2020 3. HNL West
Jadran Porec vs Novigrad
7:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Novigrad 86 / 100
Jadran Porec 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Novigrad Jadran Porec

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Novigrad Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jadran Porec let in goals in 91% of their last 33 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.25 goals when they meet.

Jadran Porec lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Novigrad scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Jadran Porec
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Novigrad

(Home)
28 May
Novigrad
3 : 4
Vinodol
21 May
Jadran Porec
0 : 0
Novigrad
14 May
Novigrad
2 : 3
Rudar Labin
07 May
Krk
4 : 1
Novigrad
30 Apr
Novigrad
3 : 3
Grobnican
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Jadran Porec

(Away)
26 Aug
Maksimir
3 : 2
Jadran Porec
31 May
Jadran Porec
1 : 2
Marsonia
24 May
Solin
6 : 0
Jadran Porec
17 May
Grobnican
2 : 0
Jadran Porec
10 May
Jadran Porec
1 : 2
Trnje
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crikvenica 26 18 2 6 53:24 56
2 Grobnican 26 16 7 3 66:23 55
3 Jadran Porec 26 16 6 4 59:22 53
4 Pazinka 26 12 5 9 31:33 41
5 Krk 26 12 3 11 40:42 39
6 Uljanik Pula 26 10 7 9 44:32 37
7 Novigrad 26 10 6 10 39:39 36
8 Rudar Labin 26 11 3 12 37:39 36
9 Cres 26 8 5 13 36:44 29
10 Nehaj Senj 26 7 8 11 26:40 29
11 Buje 26 9 2 15 22:36 29
12 NK Pomorac 26 7 5 14 32:62 26
13 Vinodol 26 5 9 12 31:47 24
14 Naprijed Hreljin 26 5 4 17 24:57 19
Promotion - Prva NL 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)