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Stadium Background

Novigrad vs NK Pomorac

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL West
Novigrad Logo

Novigrad

4 - 1
FT
NK Pomorac Logo

NK Pomorac

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 3. HNL West game between Novigrad and NK Pomorac finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Novigrad.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Novigrad
30%
Draws
58%
NK Pomorac
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: NK Pomorac

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Novigrad carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on NK Pomorac taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Novigrad Clean Sheet 15%
NK Pomorac Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Novigrad NK Pomorac
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 11 7
Draws 8 5
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.5 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2022 3. HNL West
NK Pomorac vs Novigrad
1:0
Oct 9, 2021 3. HNL West
Novigrad vs NK Pomorac
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Novigrad 15 / 100
NK Pomorac 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Novigrad NK Pomorac

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NK Pomorac Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

NK Pomorac's defensive record shows goals conceded in 85% of 27 matches.

Novigrad's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Novigrad stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Novigrad VS NK Pomorac
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Novigrad

(Home)
28 May
Novigrad
3 : 4
Vinodol
21 May
Jadran Porec
0 : 0
Novigrad
14 May
Novigrad
2 : 3
Rudar Labin
07 May
Krk
4 : 1
Novigrad
30 Apr
Novigrad
3 : 3
Grobnican
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NK Pomorac

(Away)
28 May
NK Pomorac
3 : 2
Krk
21 May
Naprijed Hreljin
1 : 4
NK Pomorac
14 May
NK Pomorac
0 : 4
Grobnican
07 May
Pazinka
0 : 2
NK Pomorac
30 Apr
NK Pomorac
2 : 2
Nehaj Senj
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crikvenica 26 18 2 6 53:24 56
2 Grobnican 26 16 7 3 66:23 55
3 Jadran Porec 26 16 6 4 59:22 53
4 Pazinka 26 12 5 9 31:33 41
5 Krk 26 12 3 11 40:42 39
6 Uljanik Pula 26 10 7 9 44:32 37
7 Novigrad 26 10 6 10 39:39 36
8 Rudar Labin 26 11 3 12 37:39 36
9 Cres 26 8 5 13 36:44 29
10 Nehaj Senj 26 7 8 11 26:40 29
11 Buje 26 9 2 15 22:36 29
12 NK Pomorac 26 7 5 14 32:62 26
13 Vinodol 26 5 9 12 31:47 24
14 Naprijed Hreljin 26 5 4 17 24:57 19
Promotion - Prva NL 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)