Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Novigrad vs NK Zagreb

Croatia Croatia

2. HNL 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this 2. HNL 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Novigrad
6%
Draws
4%
NK Zagreb
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Novigrad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • NK Zagreb haven't matched Novigrad's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Novigrad's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Novigrad Clean Sheet 68%
NK Zagreb Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Novigrad NK Zagreb
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 13 3
Draws 9 5
Losses 12 21
Goals Scored 1.13 0
Goals Conceded 1.75 6
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 6.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2017 Prva NL
Novigrad vs NK Zagreb
1:1
Dec 3, 2016 Prva NL
Novigrad vs NK Zagreb
2:1
Sep 28, 2016 Prva NL
NK Zagreb vs Novigrad
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Novigrad 95 / 100
NK Zagreb 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Novigrad NK Zagreb

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NOV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

NK Zagreb let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Attacking prowess: Novigrad scored in 79% of their last 34 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.67 goals per match.

Difficult form: NK Zagreb registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Novigrad VS NK Zagreb
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 6
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Novigrad

(Home)
28 May
Novigrad
3 : 4
Vinodol
21 May
Jadran Porec
0 : 0
Novigrad
14 May
Novigrad
2 : 3
Rudar Labin
07 May
Krk
4 : 1
Novigrad
30 Apr
Novigrad
3 : 3
Grobnican
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NK Zagreb

(Away)
26 Sept
Cibalia
6 : 0
NK Zagreb
22 Sept
NK Zagreb
0 : 1
Oriolik
02 Mar
NK Zagreb
0 : 3
Hajduk Split
07 Oct
Mladost Zdralovi
0 : 1
NK Zagreb
25 Sept
HNK Gorica
8 : 0
NK Zagreb
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rudes33179743:2860
2HNK Gorica331512653:3157
3Solin331671040:3655
4Sesvete331571153:3652
5Dinamo Zagreb 23312111039:3247
6Dugopolje3312101136:3246
7Sibenik331291232:3345
8Novigrad331191328:3542
9Lucko339111334:4838
10Dragovoljac33991530:3936
11Imotski33871836:5831
12NK Zagreb336111634:5029
Promotion - 1. HNL 2017/2018 (Main)
Promotion - 2. HNL 2016/2017 (Promotion)