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Novigrad vs NK Zagreb - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Croatia Croatia

2. HNL 2016/2017
Novigrad Logo

Novigrad

1 - 1
FT
NK Zagreb Logo

NK Zagreb

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this 2. HNL 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Novigrad
20%
Draws
48%
NK Zagreb
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: NK Zagreb

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • NK Zagreb haven't matched Novigrad's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Novigrad's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Novigrad Clean Sheet 68%
NK Zagreb Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Novigrad NK Zagreb
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 12 3
Draws 9 5
Losses 11 21
Goals Scored 1.5 0.55
Goals Conceded 1.47 2.31
Expected Goals (xG) 3.56 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2017 Prva NL
Novigrad vs NK Zagreb
1:1
Dec 3, 2016 Prva NL
Novigrad vs NK Zagreb
2:1
Sep 28, 2016 Prva NL
NK Zagreb vs Novigrad
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Novigrad 95 / 100
NK Zagreb 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Novigrad NK Zagreb

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Novigrad Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

NK Zagreb let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Attacking prowess: Novigrad scored in 78% of their last 32 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.67 goals per match.

Difficult form: NK Zagreb registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Novigrad VS NK Zagreb
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 6
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Novigrad

(Home)
28 May
Novigrad
3 : 4
Vinodol
21 May
Jadran Porec
0 : 0
Novigrad
14 May
Novigrad
2 : 3
Rudar Labin
07 May
Krk
4 : 1
Novigrad
30 Apr
Novigrad
3 : 3
Grobnican
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NK Zagreb

(Away)
26 Sept
Cibalia
6 : 0
NK Zagreb
22 Sept
NK Zagreb
0 : 1
Oriolik
02 Mar
NK Zagreb
0 : 3
Hajduk Split
07 Oct
Mladost Zdralovi
0 : 1
NK Zagreb
25 Sept
HNK Gorica
8 : 0
NK Zagreb
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rudes 33 17 9 7 43:28 60
2 HNK Gorica 33 15 12 6 53:31 57
3 Solin 33 16 7 10 40:36 55
4 Sesvete 33 15 7 11 53:36 52
5 Dinamo Zagreb 2 33 12 11 10 39:32 47
6 Dugopolje 33 12 10 11 36:32 46
7 Sibenik 33 12 9 12 32:33 45
8 Novigrad 33 11 9 13 28:35 42
9 Lucko 33 9 11 13 34:48 38
10 Dragovoljac 33 9 9 15 30:39 36
11 Imotski 33 8 7 18 36:58 31
12 NK Zagreb 33 6 11 16 34:50 29
Promotion - 1. HNL 2017/2018 (Main)
Promotion - 2. HNL 2016/2017 (Promotion)