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Stadium Background

Novo Esporte vs North Esporte Clube

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

North Esporte Clube in this Mineiro 3 2022 tie, finishing 2-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Novo Esporte
30%
Draws
47%
North Esporte Clube
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: North Esporte Clube

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Novo Esporte haven't matched North Esporte Clube's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans North Esporte Clube's way, sitting at 40%.
  • North Esporte Clube arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor North Esporte Clube, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Novo Esporte Clean Sheet 16%
North Esporte Clube Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Novo Esporte North Esporte Clube
Matches Played 25 38
Wins 11 20
Draws 6 12
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 1.4 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.04 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 15, 2022 Mineiro 3
North Esporte Clube vs Novo Esporte
0:0
Oct 7, 2022 Mineiro 3
Novo Esporte vs North Esporte Clube
2:3
Aug 27, 2022 Mineiro 3
North Esporte Clube vs Novo Esporte
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Novo Esporte 28 / 100
North Esporte Clube 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Novo Esporte North Esporte Clube

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick North Esporte Clube Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.33 goals.

Attacking prowess: Novo Esporte scored in 64% of their last 25 outings.

Novo Esporte went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

North Esporte Clube let in goals in 50% of their last 38 matches.

Scoring Trends

Novo Esporte VS North Esporte Clube
0.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Novo Esporte

(Home)
03 Oct
Novo Esporte
0 : 0
Venda Nova FC
26 Sept
Nova Lavras
3 : 0
Novo Esporte
19 Sept
Novo Esporte
2 : 1
Inter de Minas
22 Nov
Paracatu
0 : 0
Novo Esporte
15 Nov
Novo Esporte
0 : 2
Coimbra Esporte Clube
Page 1 of 5

North Esporte Clube

(Away)
07 Mar
North Esporte Clube
1 : 0
URT
04 Mar
URT
1 : 2
North Esporte Clube
01 Mar
North Esporte Clube
1 : 0
Uberlandia
21 Feb
Uberlandia
1 : 1
North Esporte Clube
14 Feb
America MG
2 : 1
North Esporte Clube
Page 1 of 8

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Tres Coracoes 0
America TO 5
TBD -
Valeriodoce -
Santarritense 2
Novo Esporte 5
TBD -
North Esporte Clube -
Nacional Uberaba 0
Villa Real 2
TBD -
Itabirito -
Mamore 1
Coimbra Esporte Clube 1
TBD -
Araxa -
Quarter-finals
America TO 1
Valeriodoce 1
Novo Esporte 2
North Esporte Clube 3
Villa Real 1
Itabirito 1
Coimbra Esporte Clube 2
Araxa 1
Semi-finals
Valeriodoce 0
North Esporte Clube 1
Itabirito 3
Coimbra Esporte Clube 5
Final
North Esporte Clube 1
Coimbra Esporte Clube 1